The long and the short of it: revisiting the effects of microfinance-oriented banks on household welfare in the Philippines

Cherry Wyle G. Layaoen, Kazushi Takahashi
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Abstract

Although evidence on the impact of microfinance is continuously accumulating, little is known about how long-term presence of microfinance institutions affects household welfare. This study addresses the issue by evaluating a household-level panel data and a unique event in the Philippines when the microfinance industry was mainstreamed and commercialized in the banking sector with microfinance-oriented banks (MOBs), which began to open in 2004. We find that the positive effects of longer MOB presence on entrepreneurial income and activities diminish or even regress over time. Moreover, no significant impacts are noted on real expenditures. Heterogeneity analysis further reveals that no immediate or incremental effects were observed on real expenditures of poor families and the immediate positive effect on entrepreneurial income and activities did not accrue in the long run. Lastly, no significant long-term impacts are noted on real expenditures as well as likelihood of and income from entrepreneurial and wage and salary activities of non-poor families from MOB presence. We, however, argue that MOB presence may reduce vulnerability as it affords households to be entrepreneurs.
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长话短说:重新审视小额信贷银行对菲律宾家庭福利的影响
尽管关于小额信贷影响的证据不断积累,但人们对小额信贷机构的长期存在如何影响家庭福利知之甚少。本研究通过评估家庭层面的面板数据和菲律宾的一个独特事件来解决这个问题,当时小额信贷行业在银行部门被主流化并商业化,小额信贷导向银行(MOBs)于2004年开始开放。我们发现,随着时间的推移,MOB对企业家收入和活动的积极影响会减弱甚至倒退。此外,没有注意到对实际支出的重大影响。异质性分析进一步表明,对贫困家庭的实际支出没有观察到直接或增量的影响,对企业收入和活动的直接积极影响在长期内不会累积。最后,没有注意到MOB存在对非贫困家庭的实际支出以及创业和工资和薪金活动的可能性和收入的重大长期影响。然而,我们认为,MOB的存在可能会减少脆弱性,因为它使家庭成为企业家。
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