Julien Arino, khalid el hail, M. Khaladi, A. Ouhinou
{"title":"A model for the early COVID-19 outbreak in China with case detection and behavioural change","authors":"Julien Arino, khalid el hail, M. Khaladi, A. Ouhinou","doi":"10.55630/j.biomath.2022.12.207","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We investigate a model of the early stage of the COVID-19 epidemic comprising undetected infected individuals as well as behavioural change towards the use of self-protection measures. The model is fitted to China data reported between 22 January and 29 June 2020. Using fitting results, we then consider model responses to varying screening intensities.","PeriodicalId":52247,"journal":{"name":"Biomath","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Biomath","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.55630/j.biomath.2022.12.207","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We investigate a model of the early stage of the COVID-19 epidemic comprising undetected infected individuals as well as behavioural change towards the use of self-protection measures. The model is fitted to China data reported between 22 January and 29 June 2020. Using fitting results, we then consider model responses to varying screening intensities.