Crisis Prevention and the Coronavirus Pandemic as a Global and Total Risk of Our Time

IF 1.7 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.2478/jcbtp-2021-0003
Radoica Luburić
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Abstract The Coronavirus pandemic, as a global and total risk of our time, has imposed the need for a more complete and comprehensive review of existing approaches to crisis prevention and preventive management in general. This crisis also pointed to some shortcomings in quality management, risk management and change management, which had not been removed in a timely and adequate manner in more stable conditions in order to function better in crisis situations. Accordingly, the structure of this paper was conceived, which, in addition to an introduction and concluding remarks, has five short, but thematically complete, units. In the first part, preventive management is seen as a paradigm of the successful management of problems, incidents and crises. In the second and third parts, the influence of the principles of quality management and the principles of risk management on the prevention of a crisis, as well as their cooperation, effectiveness and synergistic effects are discussed. The fourth part analyses the key processes of change and conflict management in terms of crisis prevention. In the fifth part, an effective, complete and comprehensive crisis prevention model based on quality management, risk management and change management is created, with the primary goal of achieving sustained success in all business conditions. Bearing in mind that the processes and consequences of the Coronavirus pandemic have still not been completed or become clear, the concluding remarks identify certain messages and lessons that could have been learned in its initial stages.
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危机预防和冠状病毒大流行是我们这个时代的全球和全面风险
冠状病毒大流行作为我们这个时代的全球性和全面风险,要求对现有的危机预防和预防管理方法进行更全面和全面的审查。这次危机还指出了质量管理、风险管理和变革管理方面的一些缺点,这些缺点在较稳定的条件下没有及时和充分地加以消除,以便在危机局势中更好地发挥作用。因此,本文的结构被构想出来,除了引言和结束语外,有五个简短但主题完整的单元。在第一部分中,预防性管理被视为成功管理问题、事件和危机的范例。第二部分和第三部分分别讨论了质量管理原则和风险管理原则对危机预防的影响,以及它们之间的合作、有效性和协同效应。第四部分从危机预防的角度分析了变革和冲突管理的关键过程。第五部分,建立了基于质量管理、风险管理和变更管理的有效、完整和全面的危机预防模型,其主要目标是在所有业务条件下取得持续成功。考虑到冠状病毒大流行的进程和后果尚未完成或尚未明朗,结论性意见确定了在其初始阶段本可以吸取的某些信息和教训。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
57.10%
发文量
31
审稿时长
7 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice is a scientific journal dedicated to publishing quality papers and disseminating original, relevant and applicable economic research. Scientific and professional papers that are published in the Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice cover theoretical and practical aspects of central banking, monetary policy, including the supervision issues, as well as banking and management in central banks. The purpose of the journal is to educate the general public about the key issues that the central bankers globally face, as well as about contemporary research and achievements in the field of central banking theory and practice.
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