A New Compound Distribution and Its Applications in Over-dispersed Count Data

Q1 Decision Sciences Annals of Data Science Pub Date : 2023-06-07 DOI:10.1007/s40745-023-00478-0
Peer Bilal Ahmad, Mohammad Kafeel Wani
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Abstract

Every time variance exceeds mean, over-dispersed models are typically employed. This is the reason that over-dispersed models are such an important aspect of statistical modeling. In this work, the parameter of Poisson distribution is assumed to follow a new lifespan distribution called as Chris-Jerry distribution. The resulting compound distribution is an over-dispersed model known as the Poisson-Chris-Jerry distribution. As a result of deriving a general expression for the r th factorial moment, we acquired the moments about origin and the central moments. In addition to this, moment’s related measurements, generating functions, over-dispersion property, reliability characteristics, recurrence relation for probability, and other statistical qualities, have also been described. For the goal of estimating parameter of the suggested model, the maximum likelihood estimation and method of moment estimation have been addressed. The usefulness of maximum likelihood estimates has also been taken into consideration through a simulation study. We employed four real life data sets, examined the goodness-of-fit test, and considered additional standards such as the Akaike’s information criterion and Bayesian information criterion. The outcomes are compared with several potential models.

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一种新的复合分布及其在过分散计数数据中的应用
每当方差超过均值时,通常就会采用过度分散模型。这就是超分散模型在统计建模中如此重要的原因。在本研究中,我们假设泊松分布的参数遵循一种新的寿命分布,即克里斯-杰里分布。由此产生的复合分布是一种称为泊松-克里斯-杰里分布的过度分散模型。通过推导 rth 系数矩的一般表达式,我们获得了关于原点的矩和中心矩。除此之外,还描述了矩的相关测量、生成函数、超分散特性、可靠性特征、概率递推关系和其他统计特性。为了估算建议模型的参数,研究人员采用了最大似然估算法和矩估算法。我们还通过模拟研究来考虑最大似然估计的实用性。我们采用了四个真实数据集,检验了拟合优度,并考虑了其他标准,如 Akaike 信息准则和贝叶斯信息准则。研究结果与几个潜在模型进行了比较。
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来源期刊
Annals of Data Science
Annals of Data Science Decision Sciences-Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
93
期刊介绍: Annals of Data Science (ADS) publishes cutting-edge research findings, experimental results and case studies of data science. Although Data Science is regarded as an interdisciplinary field of using mathematics, statistics, databases, data mining, high-performance computing, knowledge management and virtualization to discover knowledge from Big Data, it should have its own scientific contents, such as axioms, laws and rules, which are fundamentally important for experts in different fields to explore their own interests from Big Data. ADS encourages contributors to address such challenging problems at this exchange platform. At present, how to discover knowledge from heterogeneous data under Big Data environment needs to be addressed.     ADS is a series of volumes edited by either the editorial office or guest editors. Guest editors will be responsible for call-for-papers and the review process for high-quality contributions in their volumes.
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