Indonesia's Great-Power Management in the Indo-Pacific: The Balancing Behavior of a "Dove State"

IF 1.3 Asia Policy Pub Date : 2022-10-01 DOI:10.1353/asp.2022.0062
V. Shekhar
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Abstract

executive summary:This essay investigates Indonesia's strategic thinking toward the Indo-Pacific region amid changing great-power politics and examines both the principal drivers shaping Indonesia's strategic choices and the challenges facing Indonesian diplomacy in the region.main argument The Indo-Pacific region, born out of the great powers' efforts to forge new strategic alignments and reset the balance of power in Asia, is headed for a multi-tiered polarization that provides a challenging geostrategic context for Indonesia in the coming years. The U.S. and China form the two poles shaping the global and regional balance of power. Indonesia no longer holds a positive view toward the U.S.-China relationship in the Indo-Pacific region, and this gloomy view has prompted Jakarta to craft a foreign policy that mirrors what some experts refer to as "dove state" behavior. As a dove state, Indonesia has sought to balance its interests while navigating the uncertainties of the great-power rivalry. However, the strength of Indonesian diplomacy is likely to depend on the country's ability to walk a middle path as well as its ability to both keep ASEAN together and position the grouping as a credible regional architecture.policy implications • Indonesia is a status-quo power and is likely to oppose any policy initiative that amplifies the risk of great-power conflict or instability in the region.• As a developing country, a populist democracy, and an emerging market, Indonesia will respond proactively and positively to overtures that advance the country's economic development.• Great-power bellicosity and a weakened ASEAN may push Indonesia to be more insular and concentrate on partnerships that support Jakarta's development agenda.
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印尼在印太地区的大国管理:“鸽国”的平衡行为
摘要:本文调查了在大国政治不断变化的情况下,印尼对印太地区的战略思维,并考察了影响印尼战略选择的主要驱动因素和印尼在该地区外交面临的挑战,在大国努力建立新的战略联盟和重置亚洲力量平衡的基础上,印尼正走向多层极化,这为印尼未来几年提供了具有挑战性的地缘战略背景。美国和中国构成了影响全球和地区力量平衡的两极。印尼对美中在印太地区的关系不再持积极看法,这种悲观的看法促使雅加达制定了一项外交政策,反映了一些专家所说的“鸽派国家”行为。作为一个鸽派国家,印尼在应对大国竞争的不确定性的同时,寻求平衡自身利益。然而印尼外交的力量可能取决于该国走中间道路的能力,以及将东盟团结在一起并将其定位为可信的地区架构的能力地区。•作为一个发展中国家、民粹主义民主国家和新兴市场,印度尼西亚将积极主动地回应推动该国经济发展的提议。•大国的好战和东盟的削弱可能会促使印尼更加孤立,专注于支持雅加达发展议程的伙伴关系。
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来源期刊
Asia Policy
Asia Policy Arts and Humanities-History
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
55
期刊介绍: Asia Policy is a peer-reviewed scholarly journal presenting policy-relevant academic research on the Asia-Pacific that draws clear and concise conclusions useful to today’s policymakers.
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