Saudi-Qatar Diplomatic Rapprochement: A Perspective of Neoclassical Realism

Jun Ma, Jing Min
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Abstract

Abstract On 5 June 2017, Saudi Arabia announced the severance of diplomatic relations with Qatar. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed had hoped that the blockade against Qatar would make Qatar no longer hold an independent and autonomous foreign policy and away from the influence of Iran and Turkey. However, the Saudi blockade against Qatar has not only failed to bring the latter to its knees but has allowed it to stand on its own feet and gradually reduced its dependence on imports. At the same time, Qatar has strengthened its ties with Iran and Turkey, bringing the two powers directly into the Gulf region and challenging Saudi Arabia’s hegemony in the Gulf. However, on 5 January 2021, Saudi Arabia announced the restoration of diplomatic relations with Qatar. Based on neoclassical realism, this paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the reasons for the resumption of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Qatar through both the international system and domestic factors, ultimately concluding that the reasons for the resumption of diplomatic relations between the two countries are related to Turkish and Iranian forces, the attitude of the United States, as well as GCC unity, the change in the Crown Prince’s diplomatic philosophy, the preservation of Sunnis and the promotion of economic cooperation.
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沙特与卡塔尔外交关系的新古典现实主义视角
2017年6月5日,沙特阿拉伯宣布与卡塔尔断绝外交关系。沙特王储穆罕默德曾希望,对卡塔尔的封锁将使卡塔尔不再坚持独立自主的外交政策,远离伊朗和土耳其的影响。然而,沙特对卡塔尔的封锁不仅没能让后者屈服,反而让它站稳了脚跟,逐渐减少了对进口的依赖。与此同时,卡塔尔加强了与伊朗和土耳其的关系,使这两个大国直接进入海湾地区,挑战沙特阿拉伯在海湾地区的霸权。然而,2021年1月5日,沙特阿拉伯宣布恢复与卡塔尔的外交关系。本文以新古典现实主义为基础,从国际制度和国内因素两方面对沙特与卡塔尔复交的原因进行了全面分析,最终得出两国复交的原因与土耳其和伊朗的势力、美国的态度、海湾合作委员会的团结、王储外交理念的转变、沙特阿拉伯与卡塔尔的关系、沙特阿拉伯与卡塔尔的关系等因素有关。保护逊尼派和促进经济合作。
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