Rainfall Characteristics In Medan City With Pearson Correlation Analysis (Case Study Of February 27, 2022)

Endah Paramita, S. Humaidi, Yahya Darmawan
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Abstract

February is climatologically the first peak of the dry season in the North Sumatra region, but floods can still occur. This study analyzes the characteristics of rainfall patterns that occur during extreme rainfall that occurred in the Medan area on February 27, 2022 which resulted in flooding in several areas in Medan with Pearson correlation. The data used are rainfall data, satellite data, radar and other atmospheric dynamics analysis data. Based on dynamic analysis on February 27, 2022, the growth of CB clouds began at 14.00 WIB reaching its peak at 17.00 WIB where the peak temperature of the cloud reached 82.4 ° C and cloud growth lasted until 21.00 WIB, where the rain lasted long enough to cause hydrometeorological disasters (floods) to occur. The Pearson correlation coefficient method (r) used to analyze the relationship between rainfall and DMI, ENSO, SST Anomalies and SOI conditions can be seen that the dominant influence is SST Anomalies and SOI, where in February conditions that affect rainfall are ENSO with a correlation value of 0.36272 and SST Anomalies with a correlation value of 0.37548.
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基于Pearson相关分析的棉兰市降雨特征(以2022年2月27日为例)
二月是北苏门答腊地区旱季的第一个气候高峰,但洪水仍然可能发生。本文利用Pearson相关分析了2022年2月27日发生在棉兰地区的极端降雨期间的降雨模式特征,该降雨导致棉兰地区多个地区发生洪水。使用的数据有降雨数据、卫星数据、雷达和其他大气动力学分析数据。根据2022年2月27日的动态分析,CB云的增长开始于14.00 WIB,在17.00 WIB达到峰值,云的峰值温度达到82.4°C,云的增长持续到21.00 WIB,降雨持续时间足够长,导致水文气象灾害(洪水)的发生。利用Pearson相关系数法(r)分析降水与DMI、ENSO、SST距平和SOI条件的关系可以看出,主要影响因素是SST距平和SOI,其中2月份影响降水的条件是ENSO,相关值为0.36272,SST距平相关值为0.37548。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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审稿时长
24 weeks
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