Enabling emergency production shifting: The value of blockchain in supply chain resilience confronting COVID-19.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-28 DOI:10.1111/risa.14199
Baozhuang Niu, Lingfeng Wang, Jian Dong
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Abstract

Nowadays, factories located in COVID-19 infected countries/regions are facing random outbreaks. If blockchain is adopted, then the outbreaks can be known immediately and emergency production shifting can be enabled, although high crash cost will be incurred. Otherwise, production delay will become inevitable. We therefore formulate the tradeoffs among the high crash cost, the benefit from quick production, and the efficiency loss because of supply chain decentralization in a global brand's blockchain adoption decisions. We show that, in the presence of supply chain competition, the global brand will be benefited from blockchain adoption when the competition intensity degree is high, the crash cost is low, and the probability of COVID-19 outbreak is high. We then verify the robustness of the main findings by studying the impact of the global brand's risk attitude, its overestimation of production delay, and the unexpected production delay in the low-risk areas. In addition, we examine the social welfare and find it can also benefit from the global brand's blockchain adoption but the consumer surplus cannot.

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实现紧急生产转移:区块链在应对COVID - 19的供应链弹性中的价值
目前,位于新冠病毒感染地区(如越南)的工厂正面临随机爆发。如果采用区块链,则可以立即了解爆发情况并启用紧急生产转移,尽管会产生很高的崩溃成本。否则,生产延误将不可避免。因此,我们在全球品牌的区块链采用决策中制定了高崩溃成本,快速生产带来的好处以及由于供应链分散而导致的效率损失之间的权衡。我们发现,在供应链竞争的情况下,当竞争激烈程度高,崩溃成本低,COVID-19爆发的概率高时,全球品牌将受益于区块链采用。然后,我们考察了社会福利,发现它也可以从全球品牌的区块链采用中受益,但消费者剩余不能。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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