Evaluation of the effectiveness of government intervention strategies to control and prevent COVID-19 in Malaysia by systems thinking

IF 1.2 4区 法学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Public Administration and Policy-An Asia-Pacific Journal Pub Date : 2023-03-27 DOI:10.1108/pap-04-2022-0034
J. Cheng, F. Mohamad, P. Tamyez, Z. Kamaruzzaman, M. Zainudin, F. Zulkipli
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Abstract

PurposeThis paper aims to identify the interaction of different intervention strategies implemented in Malaysia towards flattening the curve of COVID-19 cases. Since the outbreak of COVID-19, many approaches were adopted and implemented by the Malaysian government. Some strategies gained quick wins but with negative unintended consequences after execution, whereas other strategies were slow to take effect. Learning from the previous strategies is pivotal to avoid repeating mistakes.Design/methodology/approachThis paper presents the cause, effect of and connection among the implemented COVID-19 intervention strategies using systems thinking through the development of a causal loop diagram. It enables the visualisation of how each implemented strategy interacted with each other and collectively decreased or increased the spread of COVID-19.FindingsThe results of this study suggested that it is not only essential to control the spread of COVID-19, but also to prevent the transmission of the virus. The Malaysian experience has demonstrated that both control and preventive strategies need to be in a state of equilibrium. Focusing only on one spectrum will throw off the balance, leaving COVID-19 infection to escalate rapidly.Originality/valueThe developed feedback loops provided policy makers with the understanding of the merits, pitfalls and dynamics of prior implemented intervention strategies before devising other effective intervention strategies to defuse the spread of COVID-19 and prepare the nation for recovery.
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用系统思维评价马来西亚政府干预策略控制和预防新冠肺炎的有效性
目的本文旨在确定马来西亚实施的不同干预策略对COVID-19病例曲线扁平化的相互作用。新冠肺炎疫情发生以来,马来西亚政府采取并实施了许多措施。一些策略获得了快速的胜利,但在执行后却产生了意想不到的负面后果,而另一些策略见效缓慢。从以前的策略中学习是避免重复错误的关键。设计/方法/方法本文采用系统思维,通过绘制因果循环图,展示了实施的COVID-19干预策略之间的因果关系和联系。它使每个实施的战略如何相互作用以及如何共同减少或增加COVID-19的传播可视化。研究结果表明,这不仅对控制新冠病毒的传播至关重要,而且对防止病毒的传播至关重要。马来西亚的经验表明,控制和预防战略都需要处于平衡状态。只关注一个频谱将打破平衡,使COVID-19感染迅速升级。制定的反馈循环使政策制定者能够了解先前实施的干预策略的优点、缺陷和动态,然后制定其他有效的干预策略,以化解COVID-19的传播,并为国家的复苏做好准备。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
7.10%
发文量
30
审稿时长
8 weeks
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