Research on the Impact of Industrial Robots on China’s Regional In-dustrial Structure

Shiyun Li, Chenghong Xu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The large-scale deployment of industrial robots and the technological innovation brought by artificial intelligence promote the development of local high industrialization and modernization. Industrial robots are going through the process of changing from automatic tools to intelligent tools, and even to innovative tools. Theoretical analysis shows that its universal characteristics and technological progress effect contribute to the transformation and upgrading of industrial structure. The panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model is constructed based on the data of the international robotics Union. The results show that the following facts. (1). The impact of industrial robots on the upgrading of China’s regional industrial structure has a single threshold effect, which can be roughly divided into an impact area bounded by Hu Huanyong line and high in the east and low in the west. (2). With the increasing impact, the positive effect of material capital agglomeration on the upgrading of regional industrial structure is restrained, and the negative effect of industrial labor agglomeration on the upgrading of regional industrial structure should be enhanced. (3). Affected by the impact, the elasticity of material capital agglomeration and industrial labor agglomeration increases marginally in the west of Hu Huanyong line, decreases marginally in the east of Hu Huanyong line, and finally converges. (4). Industrial robots have no significant impact on the industrial structure in the process of attracting human capital agglomeration, technological factor agglomeration and guiding the change of consumption structure.
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工业机器人对中国区域产业结构的影响研究
工业机器人的大规模部署和人工智能带来的技术创新推动了当地高度工业化和现代化的发展。工业机器人正在经历从自动化工具向智能工具,甚至向创新工具转变的过程。理论分析表明,其普遍性特征和技术进步效应有助于产业结构的转型升级。面板平滑过渡回归(PSTR)模型是基于国际机器人联盟的数据构建的。结果表明:。(1) 。工业机器人对中国区域产业结构升级的影响具有单一的门槛效应,大致可分为以胡焕庸线为界、东高西低的影响区。(2) 。随着影响的加剧,物质资本集聚对区域产业结构升级的正向作用受到抑制,产业劳动力集聚对区域工业结构升级的负向作用应得到增强。(3) 。受冲击影响,物质资本集聚和产业劳动力集聚的弹性在胡焕庸线以西边际增大,在胡焕勇线以东边际减小,最终趋于收敛。(4) 。工业机器人在吸引人力资本集聚、技术要素集聚和引导消费结构变化的过程中,对产业结构没有显著影响。
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