FDI and Economic Growth – Perspective of Southeast European Countries

Dražen Derado, Darko Horvatin
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Abstract

Abstract Emergence of new economic entities, through either integration or disintegration, always creates system inefficiencies resulting in temporary economic setbacks. At the macroeconomic level, this brings about slowdown in economic growth and delayed catching up with more advanced economies. In Europe, the turn of the century brought along political and economic disintegration, on one hand, and economic integration, on the other. Demise of planned economies across Eastern Europe caused serious economic turmoil due to market fragmentation. Meanwhile, creation of new economic architecture in the European Union (EU) has created additional challenges of economic restructuring. Therefore, achieving sustainable economic growth and high income has become the ultimate economic policy objective. Equity investment in form of foreign direct investment (FDI) has proven to be the right choice, because influx of fresh capital and know-how enabled strong economic growth and restructuring through increasing labor productivity and economic efficiency. Stronger competitive pressure through FDI contributed to dynamic restructuring, resembling in increasing exports and stronger integration into global economy. Yet, growth rates across countries were not always proportional to the volume of inward FDI, which indicates a certain level of underperformance for some countries. The aim of the paper is to closer investigate the FDI-growth nexus by differentiating between two types of FDI – mergers and acquisition (M&A) and greenfield investment. Thus, the analysis will take account of the characteristics of the FDI host economy, and those of the investing company, because we find it reasonable to assume that different forms of FDI incorporate different business dynamics and the time horizon of the investor’s expectations. In order to find out the effects of different forms of FDI on economic growth we apply panel data analysis with fixed effects and Prais-Winsten estimator on the sample of European reform countries whereby FDI, M&A and greenfield investment are considered the key variables. Analysis also includes a set of control variables, which combine standard neoclassical growth variables. Results indicate that, with reference to the level of innovativeness, different types of FDI indeed produce different effects on host countries’ economic growth.
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外国直接投资与经济增长——以东南欧国家为例
摘要新经济实体的出现,无论是通过整合还是解体,总是会造成系统效率低下,从而导致暂时的经济挫折。在宏观经济层面,这导致经济增长放缓,并推迟了对更发达经济体的追赶。在欧洲,世纪之交一方面带来了政治和经济解体,另一方面也带来了经济一体化。东欧各地计划经济的衰退由于市场分割而造成严重的经济动荡。与此同时,欧盟(EU)新经济架构的建立给经济结构调整带来了额外的挑战。因此,实现可持续的经济增长和高收入已成为最终的经济政策目标。事实证明,外国直接投资形式的股权投资是正确的选择,因为新资本和专业知识的流入通过提高劳动生产率和经济效率,实现了强劲的经济增长和结构调整。外国直接投资带来的更大竞争压力有助于动态重组,类似于增加出口和更有力地融入全球经济。然而,各国的增长率并不总是与外国直接投资的流入量成正比,这表明一些国家的表现不佳。本文的目的是通过区分两种类型的外国直接投资——并购和绿地投资,来更深入地研究外国直接投资与增长的关系。因此,分析将考虑外国直接投资东道国经济和投资公司的特点,因为我们发现可以合理地假设不同形式的外国直接投资包含不同的商业动态和投资者期望的时间范围。为了找出不同形式的外国直接投资对经济增长的影响,我们对欧洲改革国家的样本应用了固定效应面板数据分析和Prais-Winsten估计,其中外国直接投资、并购和绿地投资被认为是关键变量。分析还包括一组控制变量,这些变量结合了标准的新古典增长变量。结果表明,就创新水平而言,不同类型的外国直接投资确实对东道国的经济增长产生了不同的影响。
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审稿时长
20 weeks
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