Diffusion Smoothing for Spatial Point Patterns

Abstract

Traditional kernel methods for estimating the spatially-varying density of points in a spatial point pattern may exhibit unrealistic artefacts, in addition to the familiar problems of bias and overor undersmoothing. Performance can be improved by using diffusion smoothing, in which the smoothing kernel is the heat kernel on the spatial domain. This paper develops diffusion smoothing into a practical statistical methodology for two-dimensional spatial point pattern data. We clarify the advantages and disadvantages of diffusion smoothing over Gaussian kernel smoothing. Adaptive smoothing, where the smoothing bandwidth is spatially-varying, can be performed by adopting a spatiallyvarying diffusion rate: this avoids technical problems with adaptive Gaussian smoothing and has substantially better performance. We introduce a new form of adaptive smoothing using lagged arrival times, which has good performance and improved robustness. Applications in archaeology and epidemiology are demonstrated. The methods are implemented in open-source R code. AMS 2000 subject classifications: Primary 62G07; secondary 62M30.