Analysis of risk factors affecting the main execution activities of roadways construction projects

Usama H. Issa , Khaled Gamal Marouf , Hamdy Faheem
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引用次数: 11

Abstract

In this study, the main execution activities associated with global roadways construction projects (RCPs) were identified and categorized into five main activities of RCPs as follows: (A) Preliminary Preparations; (B) Earthworks (cut/fill); (C) Implementing of sub-base and base layers; (D) Implementing of bituminous layers and (E) Traffic safety and road furniture. A field survey was conducted, and a comprehensive practical risk checklist consisting of 39 crucial risk factors affecting RCPs activities in Egypt was introduced as a case study. The probability of occurrence and the impacts on RCPs objectives (time, cost, and quality) and the risk severity were determined while the key risk factors were highlighted. The correlations between the risk factors indices were measured, and the strongest relationship was found between time and cost severities. The weights of time and cost percentages of each activity were identified, as well as the expected percentages of time and cost overruns. Activity (B) had the highest percentages of execution time and associated cost among the whole activities, i.e., 31% for time and 29% for cost. While the average overall time and cost overruns were found (at 15–20) % and (10–15) %, respectively. The effect on the quality of each activity and the overall effect on the project’s final quality were also evaluated. The results indicated a high effect on the quality of activities (A), (B), and (D) and a moderate effect on activities (C) and (E). Furthermore, the influence on the overall quality of the entire project was found with a high effect.

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影响公路建设项目主要执行活动的风险因素分析
在本研究中,确定了与全球公路建设项目(RCPs)有关的主要执行活动,并将其分类为RCPs的五项主要活动如下:(A)初步筹备;(B)土方工程(切填);(C)实施分基层和基层;(D)实施沥青层和(E)交通安全和道路设施。进行了实地调查,并作为案例研究介绍了一份综合实际风险清单,其中包括影响埃及区域保护计划活动的39个关键风险因素。确定了发生的概率和对rcp目标(时间、成本和质量)的影响以及风险严重程度,同时突出了关键风险因素。结果表明,时间和成本严重程度之间的相关性最强。确定了每个活动的时间和成本百分比权重,以及预期的时间和成本超支百分比。在所有活动中,活动(B)的执行时间和相关成本占比最高,即时间占31%,成本占29%。而平均总时间和成本超支分别为(15 - 20%)%和(10 - 15%)%。对每项活动质量的影响以及对项目最终质量的总体影响也进行了评估。结果表明,对活动(a)、(B)和(D)的质量有很高的影响,对活动(C)和(E)的影响中等。此外,对整个项目的整体质量的影响也很高。
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来源期刊
Journal of King Saud University, Engineering Sciences
Journal of King Saud University, Engineering Sciences Chemical Engineering-Fluid Flow and Transfer Processes
CiteScore
12.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
87
审稿时长
63 days
期刊介绍: Journal of King Saud University - Engineering Sciences (JKSUES) is a peer-reviewed journal published quarterly. It is hosted and published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of King Saud University. JKSUES is devoted to a wide range of sub-fields in the Engineering Sciences and JKSUES welcome articles of interdisciplinary nature.
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