The interaction between Life expectancy and gross domestic product by countries

IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Population Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI:10.19181/population.2022.25.4.1
M. Bedanokov, E. Morgunov, S. Chernyavsky
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Abstract

The article puts forward a hypothesis about the resultant nature of the indicator "life expectancy"; all other socio-economic indicators of the country's development are significant or insignificant factors. In order to test this hypothesis, the methodology of analysis of the countries of the world was described, an analytical and statistical analysis of life expectancy, gross domestic product per capita for the countries of the world was carried out; and on this basis, an assessment of the impact of real per capita GDP on life expectancy is given using the method of grouping, correlation and regression analysis. It is established that, in general, the relationship between them is positive and has a moderate character. It can be stated that real GDP per capita is an important, but most likely far from the most significant factor in ensuring high life expectancy, and further studies of the factors influencing life expectancy are required. At the same time, it was found that it is worth considering separately countries with high and very high levels and countries with medium and low levels of life expectancy and real GDP per capita, since the statistical relationship of the analyzed indicators in 2020 is somewhat different: in countries where GDP is above $13000, life expectancy is above 75 years, to increase life expectancy by 1 year, you need to increase GDP by $14000, and in countries below these values, an increase in GDP of only $5000 can lead to an increase in life expectancy by 1 year. The study also identified critical values (2020) for life expectancy and real GDP per capita. They respectively amounted to 69.20 years (first quartile), 75.50 years (median) and per capita GDP of $5050 and $13300 respectively. In this regard, it turns out that Russia belongs to countries with an average level of development in terms of life expectancy (LE - 72 years or the 158th place in the rating out of 227), in terms of GDP — to highly developed countries (per capita GDP — $26500 or the 70th place in the rating out of227). The example of Russia is a vivid illustration of the fact that the relationship between life expectancy and GDP is statistical and moderate.
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各国预期寿命与国内生产总值之间的相互作用
文章对“预期寿命”指标的结果性质提出了一个假设;国家发展的所有其他社会经济指标都是重要或不重要的因素。为了验证这一假设,介绍了世界各国的分析方法,对世界各国的预期寿命、人均国内生产总值进行了分析和统计分析;在此基础上,采用分组、相关和回归分析的方法,对实际人均国内生产总值对预期寿命的影响进行了评估。一般来说,他们之间的关系是积极的,具有温和的特点。可以说,实际人均国内生产总值是确保高预期寿命的一个重要因素,但很可能远不是最重要的因素,需要进一步研究影响预期寿命的因素。同时,研究发现,值得分别考虑预期寿命和实际人均国内生产总值水平高和非常高的国家以及预期寿命和人均国内生产产值水平中和低的国家,因为2020年分析的指标的统计关系有些不同:国内生产总值在13000美元以上的国家,预期寿命在75岁以上,要将预期寿命延长1年,需要将GDP增加14000美元,而在低于这些值的国家,GDP仅增加5000美元就可以使预期寿命延长一年。该研究还确定了预期寿命和实际人均GDP的临界值(2020年)。分别为69.20岁(第一个四分位数)、75.50岁(中位数),人均国内生产总值分别为5050美元和13300美元。在这方面,事实证明,就预期寿命而言,俄罗斯属于发展水平平均的国家(LE-72岁,在227个评级中排名第158位),就GDP而言,属于高度发达国家(人均GDP-26500美元,在227个中排名第70位)。俄罗斯的例子生动地说明了预期寿命与国内生产总值之间的关系是统计的和适度的。
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来源期刊
Population
Population DEMOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
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