Nur Aulia, Wayan Sumarjaya, Gusti Ayu, Made Srinadi
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
The aim of this study was to identify the model and outcomes of the rainfall forecast at I Gusti Ngurah Rai International Airport using a transfer function model. The outcomes of the rainfall forecast at I Gusti Ngurah Rai International Airport are displayed using regression analysis based on the influence of the input variable humidity. Numerous characteristics of ARIMA models are included in a forecasting model known as the transfer function model. the best model in predicting rainfall data is and the level of accuracy of the rainfall forecast results obtained by MAPE value of 26.83%. This shows that the prediction of rainfall in this study is feasible.
本研究的目的是使用传递函数模型确定I Gusti Ngurah Rai国际机场的降雨预测模型和结果。根据输入变量湿度的影响，使用回归分析显示了I Gusti Ngurah Rai国际机场的降雨预测结果。ARIMA模型的许多特性包含在称为传递函数模型的预测模型中。预测降雨量数据的最佳模型是，并且由MAPE值获得的降雨量预测结果的准确度水平为26.83%。这表明本研究的降雨量预测是可行的。
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