Lead toxicity in the bald eagle population of the Great Lakes region

IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY Mathematical Population Studies Pub Date : 2021-11-30 DOI:10.1080/08898480.2021.1983323
Christine Brasic, Latimer Harris-Ward, F. Milner, Carlos Bustamante-Orellana, Jordy Cevallos-Chavez, L. Arriola
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Abstract

ABSTRACT Ingestion of lead-based ammunition is one of the leading causes of the mortality of bald eagles. Their primary source is unretrieved carrion contaminated with lead from hunters’ ammunition. Lead toxicity can have serious clinical consequences, including reduced fertility and consumption. A model with ordinary differential equations describes the dynamics of available contaminated carrion and the progression of eagles through stages of lead poisoning. Nonnegative solutions exist and equilibrium points are stable for certain parameter ranges. Sensitivity analysis shows that the bald eagle population in the Great Lakes region is primarily dependent on the rate of entry of contaminated carrion in the environment, more so than on retrieval or on the rate of treatment of eagles. Estimates of financial costs of each of these three measures show that the most effective measure is to find a substitute for lead cartridges.
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五大湖区秃鹰种群的铅毒性
摘要:摄入铅基弹药是导致秃鹰死亡的主要原因之一。它们的主要来源是被猎人弹药中的铅污染的未经回收的腐肉。铅毒性可产生严重的临床后果,包括降低生育能力和消耗量。一个带有常微分方程的模型描述了可用的受污染腐肉的动力学以及鹰在铅中毒阶段的进展。存在非负解,平衡点在一定的参数范围内是稳定的。敏感性分析表明,大湖区秃鹰的数量主要取决于受污染腐肉进入环境的速度,而不是鹰的回收或处理速度。对这三项措施的财政成本估计表明,最有效的措施是找到铅弹的替代品。
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来源期刊
Mathematical Population Studies
Mathematical Population Studies 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
11.10%
发文量
7
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Mathematical Population Studies publishes carefully selected research papers in the mathematical and statistical study of populations. The journal is strongly interdisciplinary and invites contributions by mathematicians, demographers, (bio)statisticians, sociologists, economists, biologists, epidemiologists, actuaries, geographers, and others who are interested in the mathematical formulation of population-related questions. The scope covers both theoretical and empirical work. Manuscripts should be sent to Manuscript central for review. The editor-in-chief has final say on the suitability for publication.
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