Application of climate change scenarios in the simulation of forest ecosystems: An overview

IF 4.3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental Reviews Pub Date : 2023-05-18 DOI:10.1139/er-2022-0111
Haoyun Liu, Peng Li, C. Peng, Cong Liu, Xiaolu Zhou, Z. Deng, Cicheng Zhang, Zelin Liu
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Abstract

Climate change scenarios established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) have developed a significant tool for analyzing, modeling, and predicting future climate change impacts in different research fields after more than 30 years of development and refinement. In the wake of future climate change, the changes in forest structure and functions have become a frontier and focal area of global change research. This study mainly reviews and synthesizes climate change scenarios and their applications in forest ecosystem research over the past decade. These applications include changes in 1) forest structure and spatial vegetation distribution, 2) ecosystem structure, 3) ecosystem services, and 4) ecosystem stability. Although climate change scenarios are useful for predicting future climate change impacts on forest ecosystems, the accuracy of model simulations needs to be further improved. Based on existing studies, climate change scenarios are used in future simulation applications to construct a biomonitoring network platform integrating observations and predictions for better conservation of species diversity.
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气候变化情景在森林生态系统模拟中的应用:综述
政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)建立的气候变化情景经过30多年的发展和完善,已经开发出一种重要的工具,用于分析、建模和预测不同研究领域的未来气候变化影响。随着未来气候变化,森林结构和功能的变化已成为全球变化研究的前沿和重点领域。本研究主要回顾和综合了过去十年来气候变化情景及其在森林生态系统研究中的应用。这些应用包括1)森林结构和空间植被分布的变化,2)生态系统结构,3)生态系统服务,以及4)生态系统稳定性。尽管气候变化情景有助于预测未来气候变化对森林生态系统的影响,但模型模拟的准确性需要进一步提高。在现有研究的基础上,气候变化情景被用于未来的模拟应用,以构建一个集观测和预测于一体的生物监测网络平台,从而更好地保护物种多样性。
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来源期刊
Environmental Reviews
Environmental Reviews 环境科学-环境科学
自引率
3.50%
发文量
45
期刊介绍: Published since 1993, Environmental Reviews is a quarterly journal that presents authoritative literature reviews on a wide range of environmental science and associated environmental studies topics, with emphasis on the effects on and response of both natural and manmade ecosystems to anthropogenic stress. The authorship and scope are international, with critical literature reviews submitted and invited on such topics as sustainability, water supply management, climate change, harvesting impacts, acid rain, pesticide use, lake acidification, air and marine pollution, oil and gas development, biological control, food chain biomagnification, rehabilitation of polluted aquatic systems, erosion, forestry, bio-indicators of environmental stress, conservation of biodiversity, and many other environmental issues.
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