Stabilization of supply shocks in a structurally heterogeneous monetary union✰

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS Research in Economics Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.rie.2023.06.005
Séverine MENGUY
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Abstract

The paper provides accurate theoretical results regarding the consequences of heterogeneities between the preferences or between the structural parameters of the member countries of a monetary union on monetary and fiscal policies, and on the stabilization of economic activity and inflation, in case of supply shocks. Economic activity and inflation are higher (smaller) in a country affected by a positive (negative) symmetric or asymmetric supply shock, despite the more contractionary (expansionary) fiscal policy in this country. In this context, we find that monetary unification could be more painful for a country with a small preference for stabilizing the budget deficit or economic activity, and on the contrary with a high preference for stabilizing inflation. Besides, regarding structural heterogeneities, monetary unification could be more painful for a country with strong transmission mechanisms of monetary policy or with a small budget multiplier. Membership in a monetary union could also be more painful for a country with a high (if the shock is symmetric) or small (if the shock is asymmetric) sensitivity of national prices to foreign prices. Regarding symmetric supply shocks, it could also be more painful for a country with a high sensitivity of national prices to national economic activity, or with a small sensitivity of its demand to foreign activity.

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结构性异质货币联盟中供应冲击的稳定✰
本文提供了准确的理论结果,说明货币联盟成员国的偏好或结构参数之间的异质性对货币和财政政策的影响,以及在供应冲击的情况下稳定经济活动和通货膨胀的影响。在一个受到正(负)对称或非对称供给冲击影响的国家,尽管该国的财政政策更为紧缩(扩张性),但该国的经济活动和通货膨胀率更高(更低)。在这种情况下,我们发现,对于一个不太倾向于稳定预算赤字或经济活动,而相反,高度倾向于稳定通货膨胀的国家来说,货币统一可能会更加痛苦。此外,就结构异质性而言,对于货币政策传导机制强大或预算乘数较小的国家来说,货币统一可能更加痛苦。对于国内价格对外国价格的敏感度高(如果冲击是对称的)或小(如果冲击是不对称的)的国家来说,加入货币联盟也可能更加痛苦。关于对称供应冲击,对于国内价格对本国经济活动高度敏感,或其需求对外国活动敏感度较低的国家来说,这种冲击也可能更加痛苦。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
37
审稿时长
89 days
期刊介绍: Established in 1947, Research in Economics is one of the oldest general-interest economics journals in the world and the main one among those based in Italy. The purpose of the journal is to select original theoretical and empirical articles that will have high impact on the debate in the social sciences; since 1947, it has published important research contributions on a wide range of topics. A summary of our editorial policy is this: the editors make a preliminary assessment of whether the results of a paper, if correct, are worth publishing. If so one of the associate editors reviews the paper: from the reviewer we expect to learn if the paper is understandable and coherent and - within reasonable bounds - the results are correct. We believe that long lags in publication and multiple demands for revision simply slow scientific progress. Our goal is to provide you a definitive answer within one month of submission. We give the editors one week to judge the overall contribution and if acceptable send your paper to an associate editor. We expect the associate editor to provide a more detailed evaluation within three weeks so that the editors can make a final decision before the month expires. In the (rare) case of a revision we allow four months and in the case of conditional acceptance we allow two months to submit the final version. In both cases we expect a cover letter explaining how you met the requirements. For conditional acceptance the editors will verify that the requirements were met. In the case of revision the original associate editor will do so. If the revision cannot be at least conditionally accepted it is rejected: there is no second revision.
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