Social dimensions of energy system change in a disrupted world

IF 1.1 4区 社会学 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Australasian Journal of Environmental Management Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI:10.1080/14486563.2020.1768661
R. Colvin, H. Ross, C. Baldwin
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

As Australia, New Zealand, and much of the world live under home isolation to contain the spread of COVID-19, attention is turning to short term environmental responses to the sudden changes in human behaviour, and implications for global dealings with the climate emergency. Reductions in energy usage are among the changes already apparent. Air and road transportation has reduced drastically, so cities no longer have their usual traffic jams (Knight 2020). Photographs of clear skies over Beijing, Kathmandu and many other cities offer visual reminder of the benefits of sudden declines in air pollution. Press and magazine commentaries also speculate whether people’s lifestyles will change towards living more simply, as people experience living with less, shopping locally, cooking at home, new levels of neighbourly support, and much more time with immediate family. There is further anticipation of structural changes, with discussion of a proportion of employers and workers maintaining much more working from home than in the past, as advantages are experienced (Ross 2020). Thus the enforced social changes required to contend with the pandemic may well offer an opportunity for redirection of national economies and lifestyles and with them energy usage and opportunities to address climate change, in recovery (Rosenbloom and Markard 2020). Meanwhile, governments are listening to experts – and putting them in the forefront of public announcements – to an unprecedented degree. Optimists hope this will make a precedent for heeding climate scientists in addressing the climate emergency (Farhart 2020). Changes in energy usage, and sources, are already being measured. The International Energy Agency (2020) has analysed recent daily data from 30 countries representing over two-thirds of global energy demand. It calculates that countries in full lockdown are experiencing an average 25 per cent decline in energy demand per week and those in partial lockdown an average 18 per cent decline. Global CO2 emissions are expected to decrease by eight per cent over 2020. During the ‘lockdown’ period renewable energy has experienced growth in demand, while coal and oil have experienced sharp drops (IEA 2020). Energy futures are very much part of debates associated with the massive world changes arising from COVID-19. Experts including Australia’s former Liberal Party Leader and Shadow Treasurer Prof. Hewson has argued ‘there is every reason to expect that the virus crisis will strengthen and accelerate the imperative to transition to a low-carbon world by mid-century’ (Hewson 2020). The Australian Prime Minister, however, has been mentioning coal amongst economic strategies, and activists fear reduced parliamentary function in Australia in 2020 will limit scrutiny. This issue focuses on a special collection on wind energy, guest edited by Rebecca Colvin and Ian Boothroyd, two articles on organisational change and the electricity sector, and two articles on information for environmental monitoring, both focused on water and catchments.
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在一个混乱的世界中,能源系统变化的社会维度
由于澳大利亚、新西兰和世界上大部分地区都处于家庭隔离状态,以遏制COVID-19的传播,人们的注意力正转向对人类行为突然变化的短期环境反应,以及对全球应对气候紧急情况的影响。能源使用的减少是显而易见的变化之一。航空和公路运输急剧减少,所以城市不再有通常的交通堵塞(Knight 2020)。北京、加德满都和许多其他城市晴朗天空的照片,直观地提醒人们空气污染突然减少的好处。媒体和杂志的评论也推测人们的生活方式是否会朝着更简单的生活方式转变,因为人们体验到更少的生活,在当地购物,在家做饭,邻居的支持达到了新的水平,与直系亲属有了更多的时间。人们对结构性变化有了进一步的预期,讨论了一定比例的雇主和工人比过去更多地在家工作,因为优势已经显现(Ross 2020)。因此,应对大流行病所需的强制性社会变革很可能为重新调整国民经济和生活方式以及能源使用和应对气候变化提供机会(Rosenbloom和Markard, 2020年)。与此同时,各国政府正在以前所未有的程度听取专家的意见,并将他们置于公开声明的前列。乐观主义者希望这将为听取气候科学家应对气候紧急情况开创先例(Farhart 2020)。能源使用和能源来源的变化已经在测量之中。国际能源署(2020)分析了30个国家最近的每日数据,这些国家占全球能源需求的三分之二以上。据计算,完全封锁的国家每周能源需求平均下降25%,部分封锁的国家平均下降18%。预计到2020年,全球二氧化碳排放量将减少8%。在“封锁”期间,可再生能源的需求增长,而煤炭和石油的需求急剧下降(IEA 2020)。能源期货是与COVID-19引发的巨大世界变化相关的辩论的重要组成部分。包括澳大利亚前自由党领袖和影子财政部长休森教授在内的专家认为,“有充分的理由预计,到本世纪中叶,病毒危机将加强和加速向低碳世界过渡的必要性”(休森2020)。然而,澳大利亚总理一直在经济战略中提到煤炭,活动人士担心,2020年澳大利亚议会职能的减少将限制审查。本期的重点是由丽贝卡·科尔文和伊恩·布斯罗伊德客座编辑的关于风能的特别文集,两篇关于组织变革和电力部门的文章,以及两篇关于环境监测信息的文章,都集中在水和集水区。
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16
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