Owner-Occupied Housing, Inflation, and Monetary Policy

IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Money Credit and Banking Pub Date : 2023-05-13 DOI:10.1111/jmcb.13059
ROBERT J. HILL, MIRIAM STEURER, SOFIE R. WALTL
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Abstract

Owner-occupied housing (OOH) is currently excluded from the harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP) in Europe. Using microlevel data for Sydney and aggregated data for the United States, France, and Germany, we compare the impact of alternative treatments of OOH on measured inflation. We recommend including OOH in the HICP using a simplified version of the user-cost method. This would improve the harmonization of the HICP, help close the credibility gap between measured inflation and public perceptions of it, and allow the ECB to lean against a housing boom without departing from its inflation target.

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自有住房、通货膨胀和货币政策
消费者价格指数(CPI)中对自住住房(OOH)的处理影响通货膨胀预期、实际利率,从而影响市场结果。在表明现有的OOH处理方法都不符合目的之后,我们提出了一种新的具有更好性能的简化用户成本方法。然后,我们对OOH的八种治疗方法进行了实证比较。在房地产繁荣时期,我们首选的方法会推高CPI。我们将我们的研究结果与以下宏观经济辩论联系起来:反通货膨胀之谜,逆风而行,以及在长期停滞、零下限和全球化的情况下货币政策的有效性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
98
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