Oryza Wisesa, A. Andriansyah, Osamah Ibrahim Khalaf
{"title":"Prediction Analysis for Business To Business (B2B) Sales of Telecommunication Services using Machine Learning Techniques","authors":"Oryza Wisesa, A. Andriansyah, Osamah Ibrahim Khalaf","doi":"10.29252/MJEE.14.4.145","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Sales prediction analysis requires intelligent data mining techniques with accurate prediction models and high reliability. In most cases, business highly relies on information as well as demand forecast of the sales trends. This research uses B2B sales data for analysis. The B2B data could provide information on how telecommunication company should manage its sales team, products, and budgeting flows. The accurate estimates enable Telecommunication company to survive the market war and increase with market growth. Comprehensible predictive models were studied and analyzed using a technique of machine learning to improve the prediction of the future sale. It is hard to cope with big data and sale prediction accuracy if the system of traditional forecast is used. In this study, machine learning technique was also used to analyze the reliability of B2B sales. In addition, at the end of this research, other measures and techniques used to predict sales were introduced. The predictive model with best performance evaluation is recommended to forecast the trending B2B sales. The study results are put into an order of reliability and accuracy of the best method to predict and forecast including estimation, evaluation, and transformation. The best performance model found was Gradient Boost Algorithm. The result form graph the data close together from beginning till end of data target MSE and MAPE result are the best result than other method, MSE =24.743.000.000,00 and MAPE =0,18. This model performed maximum accuracy in predicting and forecasting of the future B2B sales.","PeriodicalId":37804,"journal":{"name":"Majlesi Journal of Electrical Engineering","volume":"14 1","pages":"145-153"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"38","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Majlesi Journal of Electrical Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.29252/MJEE.14.4.145","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"Engineering","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 38
Abstract
Sales prediction analysis requires intelligent data mining techniques with accurate prediction models and high reliability. In most cases, business highly relies on information as well as demand forecast of the sales trends. This research uses B2B sales data for analysis. The B2B data could provide information on how telecommunication company should manage its sales team, products, and budgeting flows. The accurate estimates enable Telecommunication company to survive the market war and increase with market growth. Comprehensible predictive models were studied and analyzed using a technique of machine learning to improve the prediction of the future sale. It is hard to cope with big data and sale prediction accuracy if the system of traditional forecast is used. In this study, machine learning technique was also used to analyze the reliability of B2B sales. In addition, at the end of this research, other measures and techniques used to predict sales were introduced. The predictive model with best performance evaluation is recommended to forecast the trending B2B sales. The study results are put into an order of reliability and accuracy of the best method to predict and forecast including estimation, evaluation, and transformation. The best performance model found was Gradient Boost Algorithm. The result form graph the data close together from beginning till end of data target MSE and MAPE result are the best result than other method, MSE =24.743.000.000,00 and MAPE =0,18. This model performed maximum accuracy in predicting and forecasting of the future B2B sales.
期刊介绍:
The scope of Majlesi Journal of Electrcial Engineering (MJEE) is ranging from mathematical foundation to practical engineering design in all areas of electrical engineering. The editorial board is international and original unpublished papers are welcome from throughout the world. The journal is devoted primarily to research papers, but very high quality survey and tutorial papers are also published. There is no publication charge for the authors.