Limits of US Influence: The Promotion of Regime Change in Latin America

IF 1.6 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Journal of Politics in Latin America Pub Date : 2018-12-01 DOI:10.1177/1866802X1801000305
Kurt Weyland
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Scholars often assume that as a global superpower, the United States has had great influence and impact on political regime developments in the world. This article critically examines these claims, focusing on Latin America; by investigating the region most directly dominated by the US, it employs a most-likely-case design. The experiences of countries such as Brazil, Chile, Haiti, Nicaragua, and Venezuela show that US influence has been fairly limited for many years and has diminished over time. The Northern superpower has been less involved and has had less impact on regime developments than often postulated, as the analysis of the coups in Brazil in 1964 and Chile in 1973 demonstrates. Moreover, nations to which the US has maintained close, comprehensive linkages, such as Venezuela, have slid into “competitive authoritarianism” while a country such as Haiti, over which the US holds great leverage, has failed to establish a functioning democracy. Thus, even in its direct sphere of interest, the most powerful nation in the contemporary world seems to be limited in its capacity to promote or prevent political regime change.
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美国影响力的极限:促进拉丁美洲的政权更迭
学者们通常认为,作为一个全球超级大国,美国对世界政治制度的发展有着巨大的影响和冲击。本文以拉丁美洲为重点,批判性地审视了这些说法;通过调查美国最直接主导的地区,它采用了最可能的案例设计。巴西、智利、海地、尼加拉瓜和委内瑞拉等国的经验表明,美国的影响力多年来一直相当有限,并且随着时间的推移而减弱。正如对1964年巴西政变和1973年智利政变的分析所证明的那样,这个北方超级大国对政权发展的参与和影响比人们通常想象的要小。此外,与美国保持密切、全面联系的国家(如委内瑞拉)已滑向“竞争性威权主义”,而美国对海地这样的国家拥有巨大影响力,却未能建立起有效的民主制度。因此,即使在其直接利益范围内,当代世界上最强大的国家在促进或防止政治政权更迭方面的能力似乎也是有限的。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
13
审稿时长
8 weeks
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