Role of Public and Privacy Debt on Economic Growth in Albania

Dr.Sc. Arjeta Hallunov
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Abstract

Albania has managed to maintain a positive economic growth and macroeconomic stability over the past decade, but its high level of public debt, with an increasing trend over the last three years, has been seen as very worrying in the eyes of many domestic and foreign economists. When it comes to debt, both public and private debt must be taken into account. Private debt analysis takes on particular importance because private debt is associated with financing business projects and increasing consumer demand, which serve economic growth and improve the country's macroeconomic parameters. This paper aims to study the role of public and private debt on economic growth in Albania for the period 2014-2018, as well as the main determinants of these two indicators. The methodology used is based on econometric regression analysis. The results showed that public and private debt has a statistically significant impact on economic growth in Albania. The research question of this paper is: Does private and public debt have an impact on economic growth in Albania?
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公共债务和私人债务对阿尔巴尼亚经济增长的作用
阿尔巴尼亚在过去十年中设法保持了积极的经济增长和宏观经济稳定,但其高水平的公共债务,在过去三年中有增加的趋势,在许多国内外经济学家看来是非常令人担忧的。在债务问题上,必须同时考虑公共债务和私人债务。私人债务分析特别重要,因为私人债务与商业项目融资和增加消费者需求有关,这有助于经济增长和改善国家的宏观经济参数。本文旨在研究2014-2018年期间阿尔巴尼亚公共和私人债务对经济增长的作用,以及这两个指标的主要决定因素。使用的方法是基于计量经济回归分析。结果表明,公共和私人债务对阿尔巴尼亚的经济增长具有统计上显著的影响。本文的研究问题是:私人债务和公共债务对阿尔巴尼亚的经济增长有影响吗?
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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