The Impact of Changes in Log Import Price from the Logging Ban on the Market Price of Timber Products

IF 1.2 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Journal of Sustainable Forestry Pub Date : 2022-02-27 DOI:10.1080/10549811.2022.2043905
Z. Guan, Yue Zhang
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

ABSTRACT China’s ban on commercial logging of natural forests coupled with increased, demand for log imports has caused the import prices of logs to fluctuate. It is important to explore the influence of the changing trend of imported log prices on the market price of wood products under the logging ban policy. Based on the data of 2013–2020, this paper uses breakpoint regression analysis to explore the market effect of import log price fluctuations under the natural forest logging ban in China. The results show that the change of log import price under the logging ban policy has led to the increase in market prices for wood products. Finally, based on the conclusion of the study, some suggestions are put forward from three aspects: broaden log import channels, adjust the management mode of resource reserves and optimize government subsidy policy.
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伐木禁令对木材进口价格变化对木材产品市场价格的影响
摘要中国禁止天然林商业砍伐,加上原木进口需求的增加,导致原木进口价格波动。探讨禁伐政策下进口原木价格的变化趋势对木制品市场价格的影响具有重要意义。基于2013-2020年的数据,本文采用断点回归分析方法,探讨了中国天然林禁伐下进口原木价格波动的市场效应。结果表明,禁伐政策下原木进口价格的变化导致了木制品市场价格的上涨。最后,在研究结论的基础上,从拓宽原木进口渠道、调整资源储备管理模式、优化政府补贴政策三个方面提出了一些建议。
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来源期刊
Journal of Sustainable Forestry
Journal of Sustainable Forestry Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
12.50%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: Journal of Sustainable Forestry publishes peer-reviewed, original research on forest science. While the emphasis is on sustainable use of forest products and services, the journal covers a wide range of topics from the underlying biology and ecology of forests to the social, economic and policy aspects of forestry. Short communications and review papers that provide a clear theoretical, conceptual or methodological contribution to the existing literature are also included in the journal. Common topics covered in the Journal of Sustainable Forestry include: • Ecology, management, recreation, restoration and silvicultural systems of all forest types, including urban forests • All aspects of forest biology, including ecophysiology, entomology, pathology, genetics, tree breeding, and biotechnology • Wood properties, forest biomass, bioenergy, and carbon sequestration • Simulation modeling, inventory, quantitative methods, and remote sensing • Environmental pollution, fire and climate change impacts, and adaptation and mitigation in forests • Forest engineering, economics, human dimensions, natural resource policy, and planning Journal of Sustainable Forestry provides an international forum for dialogue between research scientists, forest managers, economists and policy and decision makers who share the common vision of the sustainable use of natural resources.
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