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Forecasting wildfire hazard across northwestern south America 预测南美西北部的野火危险
4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.24294/sf.v6i1.2490
Andrea Markos, William Matt Jolly, Ernesto Alvarado, Harry Podschwit, Sebastian Barreto, Catherine Toban, Blanca Ponce, Vannia Aliaga-Nestares, Diego Rodriguez-Zimmermann
Fire hazard is often mapped as a static conditional probability of fire characteristics’ occurrence. We developed a dynamic product for operational risk management to forecast the probability of occurrence of fire radiative power in the locally possible near-maximum fire intensity range. We applied standard machine learning techniques to remotely sensed data. We used a block maxima approach to sample the most extreme fire radiative power (FRP) MODIS retrievals in free-burning fuels for each fire season between 2001 and 2020 and associated weather, fuel, and topography features in northwestern south America. We used the random forest algorithm for both classification and regression, implementing the backward stepwise repression procedure. We solved the classification problem predicting the probability of occurrence of near-maximum wildfire intensity with 75% recall out-of-sample in ten annual test sets running time series cross validation, and 77% recall and 85% ROC-AUC out-of-sample in a twenty-fold cross-validation to gauge a realistic expectation of model performance in production. We solved the regression problem predicting FRP with 86% r2 in-sample, but out-of-sample performance was unsatisfactory. Our model predicts well fatal and near-fatal incidents reported in Peru and Colombia out-of-sample in mountainous areas and unimodal fire regimes, the signal decays in bimodal fire regimes.
火灾危险通常被映射为火灾特征发生的静态条件概率。我们开发了一个动态产品,用于操作风险管理,以预测在当地可能的接近最大火灾强度范围内发生火灾辐射功率的概率。我们将标准的机器学习技术应用于遥感数据。我们使用块极大值方法对2001年至2020年南美西北部每个火灾季节自由燃烧燃料的最极端火灾辐射功率(FRP) MODIS检索结果以及相关的天气、燃料和地形特征进行了采样。我们使用随机森林算法进行分类和回归,实现向后逐步抑制过程。我们解决了预测近最大野火强度发生概率的分类问题,在运行时间序列交叉验证的10个年度测试集中,75%的召回率超出样本,在20次交叉验证中,77%的召回率和85%的ROC-AUC超出样本,以衡量生产中模型性能的现实预期。我们在样本内用86% r2解决了预测FRP的回归问题,但样本外的表现令人不满意。我们的模型很好地预测了秘鲁和哥伦比亚在山区和单峰火灾情况下报告的致命和接近致命事件,在双峰火灾情况下信号衰减。
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引用次数: 0
Some Thoughts on Mountain Forests: Their Benefits and Sustainability 关于山林的几点思考:它们的效益和可持续性
4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1080/10549811.2023.2204788
Graeme P. Berlyn
Mountain forests occur on most of the continents on this planet. Definitions of what constitutes as a mountain forest can be arbitrary. A reasonable operational definition is “forests on land with an elevation of 2500 m a.s.l. or higher, irrespective of slope, or on land with an elevation of 300– 2500 m and a slope with sharp changes in elevation within a short distance” (Price et al., 2011). However, where they start and end on a particular mountain depends on its climate, soils, topography, other organisms that live in the forest, and random factors. To paraphrase the Greek philosopher Heraclitus no person climbs the same mountain twice because the mountain is not the same and the person is not the same. Mountain forests comprise about 20% of the world’s forests and provide many essential services such as preventing erosion and serving as water sheds (Price et al., 2011). Trees take up carbon dioxide (a greenhouse gas) and give off oxygen. The carbon dioxide is converted into woody tissue that sequesters the carbon and helps mitigate global warming for long periods of time. The oxygen released is required for all aerobic life. Like other forest types, mountain forests are a significant part of these processes. As I approach my nonagenarian years, I look back at 70 years of my close relationship with the mountain forests and I call for their sustainable management that can support and improve the capacity of mountain forests to provide environmental services (Gratzer & Keeton, 2017). Forests are complex systems. Each tree in a forest supports a diversity of life including insects, birds, mammals, mosses, and lichens (Körner, 2004; Perrigo et al., 2020). The complexity of a forested system is beyond what the eye can see as trees of the forest communicate both above and below ground in many ways. In the soil, the trees communicate by sharing soil resources with the help of a fungal network with the tree roots termed mycorrhizae. Above ground, the trees give off volatile compounds if they are attacked by pathogens and these stimulate neighboring trees to synthesize protective compounds like polyphenols. Some deeper-rooted trees can bring up water from great depths and exude it at shallower depths permitting other organisms to take it up. Tree roots also exude a variety of chemicals into the surrounding soil. Some of these attract beneficial soil microorganisms and create a special environment around the roots termed the rhizosphere. Other exudates given off by the roots of one species inhibit other species in a process called allelopathy. This gives a competitive advantage to the excreting species over other species in the competition for scarce resources. In the initial stage of forest formation from seedlings the tree stems are very dense, but as the forest develops the number of trees per hectare decreases as there is not enough space and resources for all the trees to grow large. This competition is especially evident at higher elevations when
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引用次数: 0
Advancements in remote sensing tools for forestry analysis 林业分析遥感工具的进展
4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.24294/sf.v6i1.2269
Shruti Kanga
Remote sensing technologies have revolutionized forestry analysis by providing valuable information about forest ecosystems on a large scale. This review article explores the latest advancements in remote sensing tools that leverage optical, thermal, RADAR, and LiDAR data, along with state-of-the-art methods of data processing and analysis. We investigate how these tools, combined with artificial intelligence (AI) techniques and cloud-computing facilities, enhance the analytical outreach and offer new insights in the fields of remote sensing and forestry disciplines. The article aims to provide a comprehensive overview of these advancements, discuss their potential applications, and highlight the challenges and future directions. Through this examination, we demonstrate the immense potential of integrating remote sensing and AI to revolutionize forest management and conservation practices.
遥感技术通过提供大规模森林生态系统的宝贵信息,使林业分析发生了革命性的变化。这篇综述文章探讨了利用光学、热、雷达和激光雷达数据的遥感工具的最新进展,以及最先进的数据处理和分析方法。我们研究了这些工具如何与人工智能(AI)技术和云计算设施相结合,增强分析外展,并在遥感和林业学科领域提供新的见解。本文旨在全面概述这些进展,讨论其潜在应用,并强调挑战和未来方向。通过这项研究,我们展示了将遥感和人工智能结合起来彻底改变森林管理和保护实践的巨大潜力。
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引用次数: 0
A study on bamboo all-for-one tourism—Taking Yibin City, Sichuan Province, China as an example 竹制全域旅游研究——以四川省宜宾市为例
IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.24294/sf.v6i1.1990
Xiaoxiao Zhang, Fen Liao
Under the background of green economic transformation, the sustainable utilization of ecological resources has become a trend, and bamboo all-for-one tourism has become a new development direction for bamboo-resource-rich areas. Based on the all-for-one tourism model and characteristics of bamboo resources, this paper puts forward a bamboo all-for-one tourism model, which shows the relationship between resources, products, and markets, and elaborates on the joint effect mechanism of industrial environment, governance environment, and external environment. Taking Yibin City, Sichuan Province as an example, this paper also analyzes existing problems of developing bamboo all-for-one tourism and then proposes suggestions to provide effective analytical ideas and reference, such as establishing a market-oriented all-product development model, introducing the sustainable development concept of bamboo management, establishing the management concept of sharing by all people, and driving all industries developing in a coordinated way.
在绿色经济转型的背景下,生态资源的可持续利用已成为一种趋势,竹林全域旅游成为竹资源富集区新的发展方向。基于全域旅游模式和竹材资源的特点,提出了展示资源、产品、市场三者关系的竹材全域旅游模型,阐述了产业环境、治理环境、外部环境三者的共同作用机制。本文还以四川省宜宾市为例,分析了竹业全域旅游发展中存在的问题,并提出了建立市场化的全产品开发模式、引入竹业管理可持续发展理念、树立全民共享的管理理念、带动产业协同发展等建议,为竹业全域旅游发展提供有效的分析思路和参考。
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引用次数: 1
Fine root turnover law and influencing factors in forest ecosystem 森林生态系统细根更替规律及其影响因素
IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.24294/sf.v5i2.1630
Jianing Zhao, Yun Liang, Y. Liu, Yujue Wang, Qianru Yang, Chunwang Xiao
Root turnover is a key process of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle, which is of great significance to the study of soil carbon pool changes and global climate change. However, because there are many measurement and calculation methods of root turnover, the results obtained by different methods are quite different, and the current research on root turnover of forest ecosystem on the global regional scale is not sufficient, so the change law of root turnover of global forest ecosystem is still unclear. By collecting literature data and unifying the calculation method of turnover rate, this study integrates the spatial pattern of fine root turnover of five forest types in the world, and obtains the factors affecting fine root turnover of forest ecosystem in combination with soil physical and chemical properties and climate data. The results showed that there were significant differences in fine root turnover rate among different forest types, and it gradually decreased with the increase of latitude; the turnover rate of fine roots in forest ecosystem is positively correlated with annual average temperature and annual average precipitation; fine root turnover rate of forest ecosystem is positively correlated with soil organic carbon content, but negatively correlated with soil pH value. This study provides a scientific basis for revealing the law and mechanism of fine root turnover in forest ecosystem.
根系周转是陆地生态系统碳循环的关键过程,对研究土壤碳库变化和全球气候变化具有重要意义。然而,由于根系周转量的测量和计算方法较多,不同方法得到的结果差异较大,目前在全球区域尺度上对森林生态系统根系周转量的研究还不充分,因此全球森林生态系统根系周转量的变化规律尚不清楚。本研究通过收集文献资料,统一周转率的计算方法,整合世界五种森林类型细根周转量的空间格局,结合土壤理化性质和气候数据,得到森林生态系统细根周转量的影响因素。结果表明:不同林型间细根周转率存在显著差异,随纬度的增加而逐渐降低;森林生态系统细根周转率与年平均气温、年平均降水量呈正相关;森林生态系统细根周转率与土壤有机碳含量呈正相关,与土壤pH值呈负相关。本研究为揭示森林生态系统细根更替的规律和机制提供了科学依据。
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引用次数: 0
Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services of Bamboo Carbon Stocks Regulation in the Western Highlands of Cameroon 喀麦隆西部高地竹碳储量调控的生物多样性和生态系统服务
IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2022-11-30 DOI: 10.1080/10549811.2022.2150417
C. D. Cédric, A. L. Meyabeme Elono, B. N. Nfornkah, G. W. Forje, P. A. Nyong, R. Kaam, Ernestine Orchelle Urbaine Ango, Banoho Kabelong Louis-Paul- Roger, Pany Noutanewo, Arnold Jovis Nguefack, Sorel Léocadie Inimbock, Mbobda Tabue Roger Bruno, Zapfack Louis, T. Martin
ABSTRACT In the Western Highlands of Cameroon, natural ecosystems have been significantly degraded, fostering other land-use types like bamboo stands. However, knowledge of the potential contribution of bamboo to climate change mitigation within the framework of payment for ecosystem services remains limited. This study sought to identify bamboo richness and estimate carbon stocks of dominant bamboo species in the context of payment for ecosystem services. Data collection combined information from local informants and biomass data of the main bamboo species. Bamboo biomass was collected by destructive method. The results obtained allow the identification of nine bamboo taxa in the Western Highlands of Cameroon. We found for Bambusa vulgaris and Phyllostachys aurea 13,330 ± 7718 and 38,010 ± 3361 culm ha−1, respectively. Total carbon stocks of bamboo estimated at 122.71 tC ha−1 for B. vulgaris and 125.41 tC ha−1 for P. aurea were not significantly different between bamboo species (Kruskal–Wallis test, p = .908). For bamboo areas in the Western Highlands, the monetary value of ecosystem services linked to bamboo carbon stocks is 1503 ± 624 USD ha−1 ranging from 1486 to 1519 USD ha−1 depending on the bamboo species. The monetary value of bamboo carbon stocks potential should help decision makers to consider adopting bamboo species as one of the sustainable strategies to restore degraded ecosystems.
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引用次数: 1
Microclimatic variations in the interior and exterior of the Caldén Forest (Prosopis caldenia), Argentina 阿根廷cald<s:1>森林(Prosopis caldenia)内部和外部的小气候变化
IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2022-11-23 DOI: 10.24294/sf.v5i2.1629
V. Duval, Alicia María Campo
Climate and vegetation are variables of the physical space that have a dynamic and interdependent relationship. Flora modifies climatic elements and gives rise to a microclimate whose characterization is a function of regional climatic conditions and vegetation structure. The objective of this work was to compare the climatic variations (inside and outside) of the Caldén Forest in the Parque Luro Provincial Reserve. Temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, wind direction and precipitation data from two meteorological stations for 2012 were analyzed and statistically compared. The influence of the forest on climatic parameters was demonstrated and it was found that the greatest variations were in wind speed, daily temperature and precipitation.
气候和植被是物理空间的变量,具有动态和相互依存的关系。植物区系改变气候要素并产生小气候,其特征是区域气候条件和植被结构的函数。这项工作的目的是比较Parque Luro省级保护区cald森林(内部和外部)的气候变化。对两个气象站2012年的气温、相对湿度、风速、风向和降水资料进行了分析和统计比较。结果表明,森林对气候参数的影响最大的是风速、日温和降水量。
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引用次数: 0
Soil Nutrient Concentrations, Associations and Their Relationships with Canopy Tree Category and Size in the Southwestern China Tropical Rainforests 西南热带雨林土壤养分含量及其与冠层类型和大小的关系
IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2022-11-22 DOI: 10.1080/10549811.2022.2150219
Mingke Fang, A. Atapattu, Luxiang Lin, Shang-wen Xia, Xiaodong Yang
ABSTRACT Soil nutrients and their stoichiometry are important indicators of nutrient biogeochemical cycles and various ecological processes. Soil nutrients are heterogeneously distributed and can be influenced by plants through litterfall and root activity. To explore the associations between soil nutrients and relationships between soil nutrients and plant characteristics, we selected three canopy tree categories based on abundance as dominant, common, and rare, with different plant sizes based on DBH (diameter at breast height, cm) for each species from three 1 ha tropical forest sites (Bu-Beng, P55, and Na-Ban-He forests), and collected the topsoil (0–10 cm) for physiochemical analysis. The results showed that soil nutrient concentrations were significantly different among the three forest sites. For soil total C, N, and P associations, soil total C and N had significant associations at all three sites; however, the associations of soil total C-P and N-P varied among sites. The plant category had significant relationships with soil stoichiometry, whereas plant size had significant relationships with soil nutrient concentrations; these relationships varied among the three sites. The results indicate that soil nutrient heterogeneity is influenced by tree category and size. Future studies should include a larger sample size to further validate these results.
摘要土壤养分及其化学计量是养分生物地球化学循环和各种生态过程的重要指标。土壤养分分布不均匀,可以通过落叶和根系活动受到植物的影响。为了探索土壤养分之间的关系以及土壤养分与植物特征之间的关系,我们从三个1公顷热带森林(布奔林、P55林和纳班河林)中选择了三个基于丰度的遮篷树类别,分别为优势、常见和稀有,并根据DBH(胸径,cm)为每个物种选择了不同的植物大小,并收集表层土(0–10 cm)进行理化分析。结果表明,三个林区土壤养分浓度存在显著差异。对于土壤总碳、氮和磷的组合,土壤总碳和氮在所有三个地点都有显著的组合;土壤总碳-磷和氮-磷的关系因地而异。植物种类与土壤化学计量有显著关系,而植物大小与土壤养分浓度有显著关系;这三个地点之间的关系各不相同。结果表明,土壤养分异质性受树木种类和大小的影响。未来的研究应包括更大的样本量,以进一步验证这些结果。
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引用次数: 0
Study on forest ecosystem damage assessment system and management system 森林生态系统损害评价体系与管理体系研究
IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2022-11-19 DOI: 10.24294/sf.v5i2.1628
Rui Bao, Tao Li, Xinyi Zhang, Xiao Fu, Yu Zhao, Mingfang Tang, H. Deng
Ecological environment damage events will destroy or damage the balance between animal and plant habitats and ecosystems, and even pose a threat to China’s ecological security. However, at present, there are some problems in the identification and evaluation of forest ecosystem damage, such as imperfect evaluation system, insufficient quantitative evaluation methods, imperfect damage compensation management system, and lack of analysis of the overall damage of the interaction between human activities and forest ecosystem. Based on the damaged object, the system involves a total of four first-class indicators, including physical damage, mental damage, economic forest fruit loss, forest by-products loss, processing and manufacturing loss, forest tourism loss, scientific research literature and history loss, soil conservation loss, water conservation loss, wind prevention and sand fixation loss, carbon fixation and oxygen release loss, atmospheric purification loss. There are 14 secondary indicators of emergency treatment fee and investigation and evaluation fee, as well as 22 tertiary indicators, and the value quantification method of each indicator is clarified by using market value method, alternative cost method, shadow engineering method, recovery cost method and other methods. The article also discusses the management system of forest ecosystem damage from the two aspects of forestry technology department and judicial administration department. The purpose is to provide reference for the quantification and standardization of forest ecosystem damage assessment technology and the improvement of management system.
生态环境破坏事件会破坏或破坏动植物栖息地和生态系统之间的平衡,甚至对中国的生态安全构成威胁。然而,目前在森林生态系统损害识别与评价中存在评价体系不完善、定量评价方法不充分、损害补偿管理制度不完善、缺乏对人类活动与森林生态系统相互作用的整体损害分析等问题。根据毁损对象,系统共涉及物理毁损、精神毁损、经济型林果损失、林副产品损失、加工制造损失、森林旅游损失、科研文献历史损失、水土保持损失、防风固沙损失、固碳释氧损失、大气净化损失四个一级指标。应急处理费和调查评价费共设二级指标14个,三级指标22个,并通过市场价值法、替代成本法、影子工程法、回收成本法等方法明确了各指标的价值量化方法。并从林业技术部门和司法行政部门两个方面对森林生态系统损害管理制度进行了探讨。旨在为森林生态系统损害评价技术的定量化、规范化和管理制度的完善提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Research progress on the influence of forest fire on the eco-stoichiometric characteristics of carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus in forest ecosystem 森林火灾对森林生态系统碳、氮、磷生态化学计量特征影响的研究进展
IF 1.6 4区 农林科学 Q3 FORESTRY Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.24294/sf.v5i2.1627
Long Sun, X. Dou, T. Hu
Forest fire can change the eco-stoichiometric characteristics of forest ecosystem elements, reflect the biogeochemical cycle change mode of forest ecosystem environment after fire, and clarify the eco-stoichiometric characteristics of carbon (C), nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) in forest ecosystem under forest fire disturbance, which is very important for understanding the response mechanism of forest ecosystem to forest fire disturbance. By consulting a large number of relevant literatures, the author summarized and analyzed the impact mode of forest fire disturbance on the C–N–P eco-stoichiometric characteristics of forest ecosystem, as well as the impact of forest fire disturbance on the C–N–P eco-stoichiometric characteristics of plants, C–N–P eco-stoichiometric characteristics of litter, and C–N–P eco-stoichiometric characteristics of soil. It is considered that the C–N–P eco-stoichiometric characteristics of forest ecosystem are mainly affected by fire factors (fire intensity, fire frequency, recovery time after fire), vegetation types and soil properties. In view of the scientific problems that forest fire urgently needs to be solved in the study of forest ecosystem eco-stoichiometry, three aspects: the impact mechanism of forest fire disturbance on the homeostasis of plant eco-stoichiometry, the study of multi-element eco-stoichiometry under forest fire disturbance, the establishment of the eco-chemometrics relationship of the plant–litter–soil composite system under the interference of forest fire are proposed, in order to deeply understand the plant regulation strategy under the interference of forest fire, clarify the mutual coupling mechanism between multiple chemical elements after the interference of forest fire, and improve the relationship between the input and output of aboveground and underground nutrients with the plant–litter–soil as a composite whole, which is of great significance for a deep understanding of the nutrient cycle and balance of the forest ecosystem under the background of global climate change, and reasonable formulation of forest fire management measures.
森林火灾可以改变森林生态系统元素的生态化学计量特征,反映火灾后森林生态系统环境的生物地球化学循环变化模式,阐明森林火灾扰动下森林生态系统中碳(C)、氮(N)、磷(P)的生态化学计量特征,这对理解森林生态系统对森林火灾扰动的响应机制具有重要意义。通过查阅大量相关文献,总结分析了森林火灾干扰对森林生态系统C-N-P生态化学计量特征的影响模式,以及森林火灾干扰对植物C-N-P生态化学计量特征、凋落物C-N-P生态化学计量特征、土壤C-N-P生态化学计量特征的影响。认为森林生态系统C-N-P生态化学计量特征主要受火灾因子(火灾强度、火灾频率、火灾后恢复时间)、植被类型和土壤性质的影响。针对森林火灾在森林生态系统生态化学计量学研究中急需解决的科学问题,从三个方面:提出了林火干扰对植物生态化学计量动态平衡的影响机制,研究林火干扰下的多元素生态化学计量,建立林火干扰下植物-凋落物-土壤复合系统的生态化学计量关系,以期深入了解林火干扰下的植物调控策略。阐明森林火灾干扰后多种化学元素之间的相互耦合机制,完善地上、地下养分投入产出与植物-凋落物-土壤作为一个复合整体的关系,对于深入了解全球气候变化背景下森林生态系统的养分循环与平衡,合理制定森林火灾管理措施具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Sustainable Forestry
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