Has South Korea Really Benefited from FTAs?

IF 0.3 4区 社会学 Q3 AREA STUDIES Korea Observer Pub Date : 2022-06-30 DOI:10.29152/koiks.2022.53.2.197
Simdi Halil, Unal Tugce Danaci
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Abstract

This study aims to reveal the actual effect of FTAs on South Korea's foreign trade volumes of main export and import products separately. The econometric approach of our study follows the gravity model with a panel dataset of 47 countries that have FTA with South Korea for the years between 2001-2018 by using 2-digit HS (Harmonized System) classification for main export and import goods. The study reveals that even though signing the FTA affects positively the trade volume of South Korea and partner countries, the export of South Korea i s affected positively only f or t he b ase metals & articles products while the import of South Korea increases for mineral products, chemical or allied industries products and machinery & mechanical appliances after the FTAs entered into force. Our findings contribute to the literature by ascertaining a new estimation model and original empirical results for South Korean trade policy makers.
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韩国真的从自由贸易协定中受益了吗?
本研究旨在分别揭示自由贸易协定对韩国主要出口和进口产品对外贸易额的实际影响。本研究的计量经济学方法采用重力模型,采用2001-2018年与韩国签订自由贸易协定的47个国家的面板数据集,对主要进出口货物采用两位数的HS(协调制度)分类。研究结果显示,FTA虽然对韩国与伙伴国的贸易量产生了积极的影响,但FTA生效后,对韩国出口的积极影响仅限于基本金属及制品,而矿产品、化学及相关产业产品、机械机械设备等的进口反而增加。我们的研究结果为韩国贸易政策制定者确定了一个新的估计模型和原始的实证结果,从而对文献有所贡献。
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来源期刊
Korea Observer
Korea Observer Multiple-
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
20.00%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: The「KOREA OBSERVER」, an English quarterly journal, has been published by THE INSTITUTE OF KOREAN STUDIES since 1968. The research articles are contributed by scholars and experts on various subjects, such as Korean political, economic, social, and cultural issues, as well as Korean unification, North Korea, and Korea’s foreign relations. The「KOREA OBSERVER」is peer-reviewed journal and maintains its high quality standards. The Journal is distributed to the libraries, academic institutions, research institutes, and individuals over 160 countries in the world. It is indexed by the PAIS International, UMI, Ingenta and International Bibliography of the Social Sciences.
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