A Hybrid Model of Primary Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Quantum Neural Network in Financial Time Series Prediction

IF 1.2 4区 工程技术 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Fluctuation and Noise Letters Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI:10.1142/s0219477523400060
Caifeng Wang, Yukun Yang, Linlin Xu, Alexander Wong
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Abstract

Financial time series are nonlinear, volatile and chaotic. Inspired by quantum computing, this paper proposed a new model, called primary ensemble empirical mode decomposition combined with quantum neural network (PEEMD-QNN) in predicting the stock index. PEEMD-QNN takes the advantages of the PEEMD which retains the main component of modal component and QNN. To demonstrate that our PEEMD-QNN model is robust, we used the new model to predict six major stock index time series in China at a specific time. Detailed experiments are implemented for both of the proposed prediction models, in which empirical mode decomposition combined with QNN (EMD-QNN), QNN and BP neural network are compared. The results demonstrate that the proposed PEEMD-QNN model has higher accuracy than BP neural network, QNN model and EMD-QNN model in stock market prediction.
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金融时间序列预测中一种综合经验模态分解与量子神经网络的混合模型
金融时间序列具有非线性、波动性和混沌性。受量子计算的启发,本文提出了一种新的股指预测模型,称为初级集成经验模式分解与量子神经网络(PEEMD-QNN)相结合。PEEMD-QNN利用了PEEMD的优点,保留了模态分量和QNN的主要分量。为了证明我们的PEEMD-QNN模型是稳健的,我们使用新模型预测了特定时间中国六大股指时间序列。对这两种预测模型进行了详细的实验,并将经验模式分解与QNN(EMD-QNN)、QNN和BP神经网络相结合进行了比较。结果表明,在股票市场预测中,所提出的PEEMD-QNN模型比BP神经网络、QNN模型和EMD-QNN模型具有更高的精度。
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来源期刊
Fluctuation and Noise Letters
Fluctuation and Noise Letters 工程技术-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
22.20%
发文量
43
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Fluctuation and Noise Letters (FNL) is unique. It is the only specialist journal for fluctuations and noise, and it covers that topic throughout the whole of science in a completely interdisciplinary way. High standards of refereeing and editorial judgment are guaranteed by the selection of Editors from among the leading scientists of the field. FNL places equal emphasis on both fundamental and applied science and the name "Letters" is to indicate speed of publication, rather than a limitation on the lengths of papers. The journal uses on-line submission and provides for immediate on-line publication of accepted papers. FNL is interested in interdisciplinary articles on random fluctuations, quite generally. For example: noise enhanced phenomena including stochastic resonance; 1/f noise; shot noise; fluctuation-dissipation; cardiovascular dynamics; ion channels; single molecules; neural systems; quantum fluctuations; quantum computation; classical and quantum information; statistical physics; degradation and aging phenomena; percolation systems; fluctuations in social systems; traffic; the stock market; environment and climate; etc.
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