Estimativa econométrica da produtividade do trabalho na indústria manufatureira brasileira nos anos 2000: uma abordagem kaldoriana

IF 0.2 Q4 BUSINESS Revista Brasileira de Inovacao Pub Date : 2017-11-09 DOI:10.20396/RBI.V17I1.8650856
André Nassif, C. Feijo, E. Araújo
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In the 2000-2008 period, which covers the analysis of this paper, while the average real GDP growth in Brazil was 3.7 percent per year, labor productivity in the manufacturing industry had a negative variation of 1.0 percent per year. In Brazil, there has been a “cliche” evaluation of the relatively low economic growth rates in the period as being the result of low labor productivity growth in the last few decades. However, according to the so-called Kaldor-Verdoorn law, the reverse could also be true: low growth rates of labor productivity in Brazil could be an effect of low growth rates of the real GDP. Based on Kaldorian assumptions, we regressed the change in labor productivity of 21 Brazilian manufacturing industries, covering the 2000-2008 period, on three main variables: the real GDP (which captures the Kaldor-Verdoorn law), gross investment to value added ratio, and technological innovation. Our results confirmed the validity of the Kaldor-Verdoorn law, as the real GDP growth was the most significant variable to explain the behavior of labor productivity in the manufacturing industries in Brazil in the 2000s, followed by the gross investment rate.
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2000年代巴西制造业劳动生产率的计量经济学估计:Kaldorian方法
在2000-2008年期间,包括本文的分析,虽然巴西的平均实际GDP增长率为每年3.7%,但制造业的劳动生产率每年有1.0%的负变化。在巴西,有一种“陈词滥调”的评价认为,这一时期相对较低的经济增长率是过去几十年劳动生产率低增长的结果。然而,根据所谓的Kaldor Verdoorn定律,情况也可能相反:巴西劳动生产率的低增长率可能是实际GDP低增长率的影响。基于Kaldorian假设,我们对2000-2008年期间21个巴西制造业的劳动生产率变化进行了三个主要变量的回归:实际GDP(符合Kaldor-Verdoorn定律)、总投资与附加值比率和技术创新。我们的研究结果证实了卡尔多-凡尔登定律的有效性,因为实际GDP增长是解释2000年代巴西制造业劳动生产率行为的最重要变量,其次是总投资率。
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审稿时长
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