The Economic Role of Tourism in European Countries’ Sustainable Development

Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI:10.15544/mts.2022.33
S. Pasieka, Oleksandr Kirdan, O. Braslavska, Inna Kosmidailo, O. Oliinyk, I. Povorozniuk, Maryna Drobotova
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Abstract

Abstract With the coronacrisis caused by the COVID–19 pandemic, the tourism industry in Europe suffered the most in 2020, experiencing huge losses, lay-offs of workers, mass bankruptcies of firms, etc. Undoubtedly, the tourism economy contributes to the sustainable development of European countries, but how? The answer to this question is contained in the proposed study. Algorithm method, correlation and regression analysis, and non-linear programming were used to address the economic contribution of tourism to sustainable development. The modelling of the multiple power regression equation was based on freely available official statistical data from 40 European countries for the year 2020. A multiple power regression equation modelling algorithm for the impact of tourism on the sustainable development of European countries has been proposed and validated. The challenge of maximising the Sustainable Development Goals Index is set and solved. It is justified that in order to increase the average European level of sustainable development by 1 % in the post-pandemic period, the average annual number of tourists per European country should be increased by 14 %, the tourist attractiveness of destinations should be increased to increase revenues per tourist by 17 %, and the sectoral structure of the European economy should be optimised so as to reduce dependence on tourist revenues by 0.4 percentage points.
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旅游业在欧洲国家可持续发展中的经济作用
摘要随着2019冠状病毒病疫情引发的冠状病毒危机,2020年欧洲旅游业遭受的损失最大,经历了巨大的损失、工人下岗、企业大规模破产等。毫无疑问,旅游经济有助于欧洲国家的可持续发展,但如何呢?这个问题的答案载于拟议的研究报告中。采用算法方法、相关和回归分析以及非线性规划来解决旅游业对可持续发展的经济贡献。多元幂回归方程的建模基于40个欧洲国家2020年免费提供的官方统计数据。提出并验证了旅游业对欧洲国家可持续发展影响的多元回归方程建模算法。设定并解决了最大化可持续发展目标指数的挑战。有理由认为,为了在疫情后时期将欧洲的平均可持续发展水平提高1%,每个欧洲国家的平均年游客人数应该提高14%,目的地的旅游吸引力应该提高,以使每个游客的收入增加17%,应优化欧洲经济的部门结构,将对旅游收入的依赖减少0.4个百分点。
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