How Does Foreign Direct Investment Affect Economic Growth in Pakistan: A Time Series Data Analysis

Hina Ali, Fatima Farooq, Khizra Sardar, Zahra Masood Bhutta
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Abstract

In developing countries, the foreign sector plays an important role and a critically important one for economic stabilization. The yearly data was employed for the period 1975- 2017 for the analysis. The variables of the study include the gross domestic product, foreign direct investment, inflation rate, industry sector growth, broad money, gross fixed capital formation, trade openness, and gross savings. An empirical analysis is done by using  and the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test is applied to analyze the unit root. In the present study, empirical findings demonstrated the negative association between economic growth and foreign direct investment in Pakistan. This argument also supports the idea, where foreign direct investment will not be in favor of the growth of developing countries as the domestic industry would not compete to the foreign industry which provides the products at a low rate. Secondly, foreign direct investment in Pakistan is not that level which can affect the GDP of Pakistan.
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外国直接投资如何影响巴基斯坦经济增长:时间序列数据分析
在发展中国家,外国部门发挥着重要作用,对经济稳定至关重要。分析采用了1975年至2017年期间的年度数据。该研究的变量包括国内生产总值、外国直接投资、通货膨胀率、工业部门增长、广义货币、固定资本形成总额、贸易开放度和储蓄总额。利用增广Dickey-Fuller(ADF)检验对单位根进行了实证分析。在本研究中,实证结果表明,巴基斯坦的经济增长与外国直接投资之间存在负相关。这一论点也支持这一观点,即外国直接投资将不利于发展中国家的增长,因为国内产业不会与以低利率提供产品的外国产业竞争。其次,外国对巴基斯坦的直接投资并没有达到影响巴基斯坦国内生产总值的水平。
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