Decision making.

D. W. Chambers
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Abstract

A decision is a commitment of resources under conditions of risk in expectation of the best future outcome. The smart decision is always the strategy with the best overall expected value-the best combination of facts and values. Some of the special circumstances involved in decision making are discussed, including decisions where there are multiple goals, those where more than one person is involved in making the decision, using trigger points, framing decisions correctly, commitments to lost causes, and expert decision makers. A complex example of deciding about removal of asymptomatic third molars, with and without an EBD search, is discussed.
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决策。
决策是在风险条件下对资源的承诺,以期获得最佳的未来结果。明智的决策始终是具有最佳总体预期价值的战略——事实和价值的最佳组合。讨论了决策中涉及的一些特殊情况,包括有多个目标的决策、多人参与决策的决策、使用触发点、正确制定决策、对失败原因的承诺以及专家决策者。讨论了一个决定是否切除无症状第三磨牙的复杂例子,无论是否进行EBD搜索。
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