Analyzing water-related equity indices in times of COVID-19

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Water Resources and Economics Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.wre.2023.100232
Manuel Monge , María Fátima Romero Rojo , Luis A. Gil-Alana
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Abstract

The impact of COVID-19 on water-related equity indices is analyzed in this paper for different regions around the world by using fractionally integrated methods and an artificial neural network model. Using fractional integration, a lack of mean reversion is observed in all cases except in the USA, which means that, for these regions, a change in the trend will be permanent after COVID-19 unless additional measures are implemented. At the same time, a structural break is observed in all cases between the 4th and March 10, 2020, likely due to the drastic lockdown imposed in many if not most countries. Long memory was tested for the post-break period and mean reversion was found not only in North America but also in Europe. Moreover, the results were strongly aligned with those obtained using the neural network model. This suggests that the water-related equity indices and associated levels of investments in water and related utilities have moved back to their pre-Covid-19 levels.

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分析2019冠状病毒病时期与水相关的股票指数
本文采用分数积分方法和人工神经网络模型,分析了新冠肺炎对全球不同地区水相关股票指数的影响。使用分数积分,除美国以外的所有病例都缺乏均值回归,这意味着,对于这些地区来说,除非采取额外措施,否则趋势的变化在新冠肺炎后将是永久性的。与此同时,在2020年4月4日至3月10日期间,所有病例都出现了结构性突破,这可能是由于许多国家(如果不是大多数国家的话)实施了严厉的封锁。对中断后的长记忆进行了测试,不仅在北美,而且在欧洲都发现了平均回归。此外,结果与使用神经网络模型获得的结果非常一致。这表明,与水相关的股票指数以及与水和相关公用事业相关的投资水平已恢复到新冠疫情前的水平。
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来源期刊
Water Resources and Economics
Water Resources and Economics Environmental Science-Water Science and Technology
CiteScore
5.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
17
审稿时长
51 days
期刊介绍: Water Resources and Economics is one of a series of specialist titles launched by the highly-regarded Water Research. For the purpose of sustainable water resources management, understanding the multiple connections and feedback mechanisms between water resources and the economy is crucial. Water Resources and Economics addresses the financial and economic dimensions associated with water resources use and governance, across different economic sectors like agriculture, energy, industry, shipping, recreation and urban and rural water supply, at local, regional and transboundary scale. Topics of interest include (but are not restricted to) the economics of: Aquatic ecosystem services- Blue economy- Climate change and flood risk management- Climate smart agriculture- Coastal management- Droughts and water scarcity- Environmental flows- Eutrophication- Food, water, energy nexus- Groundwater management- Hydropower generation- Hydrological risks and uncertainties- Marine resources- Nature-based solutions- Resource recovery- River restoration- Storm water harvesting- Transboundary water allocation- Urban water management- Wastewater treatment- Watershed management- Water health risks- Water pollution- Water quality management- Water security- Water stress- Water technology innovation.
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