A new compartmentalized epidemic model to analytically study the impact of awareness on the control and mitigation of the monkeypox disease

Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.) Pub Date : 2023-09-23 DOI:10.1016/j.health.2023.100267

Oke I. Idisi , Tajudeen T. Yusuf , Ebenezer Adeniyi , Akindele A. Onifade , Yakub T. Oyebo , Akinyemi T. Samuel , Lateef A. Kareem

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Abstract

Monkeypox (Mpox) is a viral disease primarily affecting animals that can occasionally be transmitted to humans. While it can cause a rash and flu-like symptoms, it is generally less severe than smallpox. Awareness of the disease, proper preventive measures, and timely medical care are essential in managing and controlling Mpox outbreaks. We develop a new compartmentalized mathematical model to study the impact of intense awareness on the control and mitigation of the Mpox disease. The model captures the dynamics of humans and hosts (mammals) in transmitting Mpox disease while the human susceptible population was stratified into two subgroups of aware and unaware individuals. The model is analytically analyzed, and the simulation shows the prospect of an effective public awareness campaign program in reducing the cumulative incidence (new cases) of Mpox disease. Furthermore, the results suggest the need for consistency and continuous awareness program, adhering to public health measures to increase awareness of the Mpox disease.

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分析研究意识对控制和减轻猴痘病影响的一种新的分区流行病模型

猴痘是一种主要影响动物的病毒性疾病，偶尔可传播给人类。虽然它会引起皮疹和流感样症状，但通常没有天花严重。对这种疾病的认识、适当的预防措施和及时的医疗护理对于管理和控制麻疹疫情至关重要。我们开发了一个新的划分数学模型来研究对控制和缓解Mpox疾病的强烈意识的影响。该模型捕捉了人类和宿主(哺乳动物)传播m痘疾病的动态，同时将人类易感人群分为两个亚组，即意识到和不意识到的个体。对该模型进行了分析，仿真结果显示了有效的公众宣传计划在减少Mpox疾病累积发病率(新病例)方面的前景。此外，研究结果表明，需要制定连贯和持续的宣传方案，坚持公共卫生措施，以提高对Mpox疾病的认识。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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