Capturing cascading effects under urban flooding: A new framework in the lens of heterogeneity

Abstract

Increasing urban flooding posed serious threat to urban safety and sustainable development. The heterogeneity of hazard-bearing bodies is one of the important reasons for the variability of cascading failure scenarios in floods. Most previous studies have focused on failure propagation risks among specific types of hazard-bearing bodies, making it impossible to conduct a systematic analysis of the damage caused by persistent flooding in cities. In contrast to conventional graph representations, the heterogeneous hazard-bearing bodies network (HHBBN) based on heterogeneous functional graph theory was constructed in this paper and used to capture the relevant associations of urban resources in a flood. The HHBBN takes into account heterogeneity such as sensitivity and service diffusivity, and functionalities related to hazard-bearing bodies are represented as nodes, with service relationships and geographical associations depicted as edges. To further study the performance change of HHBBN in urban areas during rainstorm flooding, the cascading failure of HHBBN under continuous disturbance was also simulated. The proposed network modeling and cascading failure simulation methods were tested in Futian District of Shenzhen City, China. The case results demonstrate that the heterogeneous hazard-bearing bodies are interdependent and networked, which causes flood damage to spread more quickly and widely. Furthermore, the larger degree and more propagating hazard-bearing bodies are the key factors affecting the cascading failure of heterogeneous hazard-bearing bodies.