Temperature shocks and industry earnings news

IF 10.4 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Financial Economics Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.07.002
Jawad M. Addoum, David T. Ng, Ariel Ortiz-Bobea
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Abstract

Climate scientists project rising average temperatures and increasing frequency of temperature extremes. We study how extreme temperatures affect corporate profitability across different industries and whether sell-side analysts understand these relationships. We combine granular daily data on temperatures across the continental U.S. with locations of public companies’ establishments and build a panel of quarterly firm-level temperature exposures. Extreme temperatures significantly impact earnings in over 40% of industries, with bi-directional effects that harm some industries while others benefit. Analysts and investors do not immediately react to observable intra-quarter temperature shocks, though earnings forecasts account for temperature effects by quarter-end in many industries.

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温度冲击与行业盈利消息
气候科学家预测,平均气温将上升,极端气温的频率也将增加。我们研究了极端温度如何影响不同行业的企业盈利能力,以及卖方分析师是否理解这些关系。我们将美国大陆气温的每日精细数据与上市公司机构的位置相结合,并建立了一个公司层面的季度温度暴露小组。极端温度对超过40%的行业的收入产生了重大影响,其双向影响损害了一些行业,而另一些行业则从中受益。分析师和投资者不会立即对可观察到的季度内温度冲击做出反应,尽管许多行业的盈利预测都考虑到了季度末的温度影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
4.50%
发文量
192
审稿时长
37 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Financial Economics provides a specialized forum for the publication of research in the area of financial economics and the theory of the firm, placing primary emphasis on the highest quality analytical, empirical, and clinical contributions in the following major areas: capital markets, financial institutions, corporate finance, corporate governance, and the economics of organizations.
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