Active labor market as an instrument to reduce unemployment

Manuchehr Irandoust
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

In order to have an impact on the labor market, welfare states must implement active labor market policies (ALMPs). The effectiveness of ALMPs has only been the subject of a few numbers of studies, the majority of which only take into account the short-term effects of ALMPs and use aggregate data. We examine the impact of public spending on female and male unemployment rates by disaggregating data on unemployment for nine OECD countries and focusing on long-term effects of ALMPs, primarily to determine whether there is evidence of causation between the variables. Based on the bootstrap panel Granger causality test, the estimates account for cross-sectional dependence, slope heterogeneity, and structural breaks. Although the causality direction varies by country, our study demonstrates that ALMPs are helpful at lowering unemployment. It's interesting to notice that these policies appear to have the most positive effects for women. Policymakers must provide appropriate support for ALMPs in order to effectively lower unemployment.

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积极的劳动力市场是降低失业率的工具
为了对劳动力市场产生影响,福利州必须实施积极的劳动力市场政策。ALMP的有效性只是少数研究的主题,其中大多数研究只考虑了ALMP的短期影响,并使用了汇总数据。我们通过对九个经合组织国家的失业数据进行分解,并关注ALMP的长期影响,来研究公共支出对女性和男性失业率的影响,主要是为了确定变量之间是否存在因果关系的证据。基于bootstrap面板Granger因果关系检验,估计考虑了横截面相关性、斜坡异质性和结构断裂。尽管因果关系的方向因国家而异,但我们的研究表明,ALMP有助于降低失业率。有趣的是,这些政策似乎对女性产生了最积极的影响。政策制定者必须为ALMP提供适当的支持,以有效降低失业率。
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