Renewable energy enabling pathways towards prosperity in Africa and South Asia

Christian Breyer, Ayobami S. Oyewo, Ashish Gulagi, Dominik Keiner
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Abstract

Africa and South Asia are the regions with the fastest growing population in the world. Both of these major regions are located in the sunbelt with excellent solar as well as other renewable energy resources. Rising standards of living accompanied by a massive economic development triggers a vast need of energy. This study reflects the opportunities for an economic development largely based on renewable energy and especially the role of solar photovoltaics as a primary option for low-cost energy supply in the sunbelt. Investigations also cover the share of 100% renewable energy system analyses for Africa and South Asia and the opportunities of a Solar-to-X Economy in the sunbelt. The current status and energy system transition prospects until 2050 for Africa and South Asia are presented, including an outlook for post-2050 trends. Strategic opportunities for Africa and South Asia show many similarities but also structural differences. A central finding of this study is that low-cost solar photovoltaics is the core of a prosperous development in Africa and South Asia. This will be strongly supported by low-cost batteries and electrolysers for a self-sufficient growth of the two most populous regions in the world. Additionally, this will create significant export opportunities for e-fuels, e-chemicals and e-materials for Africa enabled by its large land availability and excellent solar resources, while land area is rather limited in South Asia. Sustainable development for Africa and South Asia will be closely related to the roll-out of a Solar-to-X Economy.

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可再生能源促进非洲和南亚繁荣的途径
非洲和南亚是世界上人口增长最快的地区。这两个主要地区都位于阳光地带,拥有极好的太阳能和其他可再生能源。生活水平的提高伴随着大规模的经济发展,引发了对能源的巨大需求。这项研究反映了主要基于可再生能源的经济发展机会,特别是太阳能光伏作为阳光带低成本能源供应的主要选择的作用。调查还涵盖了非洲和南亚100%可再生能源系统分析的份额,以及阳光地带太阳能到X经济的机会。介绍了非洲和南亚到2050年的现状和能源系统转型前景,包括对2050年后趋势的展望。非洲和南亚的战略机遇显示出许多相似之处,但也存在结构性差异。这项研究的一个核心发现是,低成本的太阳能光伏发电是非洲和南亚繁荣发展的核心。这将得到低成本电池和电解槽的有力支持,使世界上人口最多的两个地区实现自给自足的增长。此外,这将为非洲的电子燃料、电子化学品和电子材料创造巨大的出口机会,因为非洲拥有大量的土地和优质的太阳能资源,而南亚的土地面积相当有限。非洲和南亚的可持续发展将与太阳能到X经济的推出密切相关。
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