Maradona plays Minimax

Ignacio Palacios-Huerta
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Abstract

This paper tests the theory of mixed strategy equilibrium using Maradona's penalty kicks during his lifetime professional career. The results are remarkably consistent with equilibrium play in every respect: (i) Maradona's scoring probabilities are statistically identical across strategies; (ii) His choices are serially independent. These results show that Maradona's behavior is consistent with Nash's predictions, specifically with both implications of von Neumann's Minimax Theorem.

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马拉多纳扮演Minimax
本文运用马拉多纳职业生涯中的点球,检验了混合策略均衡理论。结果在各个方面都与均衡打法非常一致:(i)马拉多纳的得分概率在不同策略下统计上是相同的;(ii)他的选择是连续独立的。这些结果表明,马拉多纳的行为与纳什的预测一致,特别是与冯·诺依曼的极小极大定理的两个含义一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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