The war in Ukraine and its consequences for the international order and North East Asia

Gerard Roland
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Abstract

Russia's invasion of Ukraine presents many challenges to the international order. To understand what is at stake, we argue that the nature of the political regime matters to understand this conflict. We propose a classification of three different types of political regimes (empires, nation states and democracies) and propose a comparative analysis of a number of their institutional and economic dimensions: tendency towards geographical expansionism or fragmentation, cultural heterogeneity, focus of public spending and a number of other variables. We use this setup to analyze the situation in Northeast Asia as well as the consequences of the invasion of Ukraine for that region.

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乌克兰战争及其对国际秩序和东北亚的影响
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰给国际秩序带来了许多挑战。为了理解利害关系,我们认为,政治政权的性质对于理解这场冲突至关重要。我们对三种不同类型的政治政权(帝国、民族国家和民主国家)进行了分类,并对其制度和经济层面进行了比较分析:地域扩张或分裂的趋势、文化异质性、公共支出的重点和一些其他变量。我们利用这一设置来分析东北亚的局势以及入侵乌克兰对该地区的后果。
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