Doping and uncertainty of outcome

Kjetil K. Haugen
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Abstract

This paper demonstrates, by simple classical game theory, that the claim by Savulescu et al. (2004) of a safer and fairer sport with legalized doping is a highly unlikely outcome. This result, with added arguments related to adverse effects on both demand and supply for the sports product, should hopefully affect the debate on legalization of performance-enhancing drugs. The Nash equilibrium obtained in the analysis predicts more doping, and maybe more importantly, use of more dangerous performance-enhancing drugs. As a consequence, a legalization of performance.enhancing drugs may threaten the actual existence of professional sports markets.

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兴奋剂和结果的不确定性
本文用简单的经典博弈论证明了Savulescu等人。(2004年)一项更安全、更公平的运动与合法的兴奋剂是极不可能的结果。这一结果,再加上对体育产品供需的不利影响,有望影响关于提高成绩药物合法化的辩论。分析中获得的纳什均衡预测会有更多的兴奋剂,也许更重要的是,会使用更危险的提高成绩的药物。因此,兴奋剂合法化可能会威胁到职业体育市场的实际存在。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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