Cascading opt-outs? The effect of the Euro and migration crises on differentiated integration in the European Union

IF 2.9 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE European Union Politics Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI:10.1177/14651165221121720
F. Schimmelfennig, Thomas Winzen
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Do integration crises reinforce legal differentiation in European integration? Are differentiated EU policies under stress prone to cascading opt-outs? We argue that integration crises as such are unlikely to cause further fragmentation in already differentiated EU regimes. If the EU decides to adopt new treaties and laws in response to the crises, however, these are likely to reproduce and extend pre-existing patterns of differentiation. Empirically, this study offers within-case counterfactual analyses of differentiation in the Euro and the migration crises. Whereas the Euro crisis triggered a major institutional change in the Eurozone, the member states could not agree on a thorough reform of the asylum system. Correspondingly, we observe excess differentiation in the Euro crisis but stable differentiation in the migration crisis.
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级联退出吗?欧元和移民危机对欧盟差别化一体化的影响
一体化危机是否强化了欧洲一体化中的法律分化?在压力之下,欧盟的差异化政策是否容易导致连锁选择退出?我们认为,一体化危机本身不太可能导致已经分化的欧盟制度进一步分裂。然而,如果欧盟决定通过新的条约和法律来应对危机,这些条约和法律很可能会重现并扩大已有的分化模式。从经验上看,本研究对欧元和移民危机的差异进行了个案反事实分析。尽管欧元危机引发了欧元区的重大制度变革,但成员国未能就彻底改革庇护制度达成一致。相应地,我们在欧元危机中观察到过度分化,而在移民危机中观察到稳定分化。
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来源期刊
European Union Politics
European Union Politics POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
21.70%
发文量
37
期刊介绍: European Union Politics is an international academic journal for advanced peer-reviewed research and scholarship on all aspects of the process of government, politics and policy in the European Union. It aims to stimulate debate and provide a forum to bridge the theoretical and empirical analysis on the political unification of Europe. It represents no particular school or approach, nor is it wedded to any particular methodology. In particular it welcomes articles that offer a new theoretical argument, analyze original data in a novel fashion or present an innovative methodological approach. The Editors invite submissions from all sub-fields of contemporary political science, including international relations, comparative politics, public administration, public policy and political theory.
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