The Czech Pirate Party in the 2010 and 2013 Parliamentary Elections and the 2014 European Parliament Elections: Spatial Analysis of Voter Support

Q2 Social Sciences Slovak Journal of Political Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI:10.1515/sjps-2017-0001
Pavel Maškarinec
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

Abstract The paper presents a spatial analysis of the Czech Pirate Party (Pirates) voter support in the 2010 and 2013 parliamentary elections and the 2014 European Parliament elections. The main method applied for classifying electoral results was the spatial autocorrelation and spatial regression. The result of the analysis has shown that territorial support for the Pirates copies to a great extent the areas of high support for right-wing parties and simultaneously the areas exemplified by a high development potential. In the case of spatial characteristics, little support for the Pirates was shown in Moravia and higher in the Sudetenland in terms of determinants of support. Additionally to spatial regimes, inter-regional support for the Pirates was also influenced by other non-spatial characteristics, although the strength of their influence was relatively weak. The units which embodied a successful environment for voting for the Pirates were particularly characterized by greater urbanization and a greater number of entrepreneurs, while a lack of jobs and the older age structure, i.e. the signs that in the socio-economic, or socio-ecological sense define peripheral areas, negatively impacted the gains of the Pirates. Ambiguous influence was exercised by college-educated inhabitants, who in the parliamentary elections in 2010 and 2013 decreased the gains of the Pirates, however, in the elections to the European Parliament in 2014 a direction of relationship was modified and turned positive.
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捷克海盗党在2010年、2013年议会选举和2014年欧洲议会选举中的表现:选民支持的空间分析
摘要本文对捷克海盗党(Pirates Party)在2010年和2013年议会选举以及2014年欧洲议会选举中的选民支持率进行了空间分析。对选举结果进行分类的主要方法是空间自相关和空间回归。分析结果表明,对海盗党的领土支持在很大程度上复制了对右翼政党高支持的地区,同时也体现了高发展潜力的地区。在空间特征方面,摩拉维亚对海盗的支持很少,而苏台德地区对海盗的支持决定因素更高。除空间机制外,对海盗的区域间支持也受到其他非空间特征的影响,尽管其影响力相对较弱。对于海盗来说,具有成功的投票环境的单位具有更大的城市化和更多的企业家,而缺乏工作和更大的年龄结构,即在社会经济或社会生态意义上定义外围地区的迹象,对海盗的收益产生了负面影响。受过大学教育的居民发挥了模糊的影响,他们在2010年和2013年的议会选举中减少了海盗的收益,然而,在2014年的欧洲议会选举中,关系的方向被修改并转为积极。
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来源期刊
Slovak Journal of Political Sciences
Slovak Journal of Political Sciences Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
9 weeks
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