Joining the Spring Revolution or Charting Their Own Path?

IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES Asian Survey Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.1525/as.2022.1717596
Paul Vrieze
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Abstract

This article examines Myanmar ethnic minorities’ diverse responses to the 2021 military coup. The coup prompted widespread mobilization for a national alliance that aims to replace the junta with a federal democracy. For minority actors this resistance could offer a unique opportunity to advance their demands for political autonomy, yet their responses diverged. Some joined the alliance; others declined, or accepted junta offers. Based on original interviews, this analysis unpacks the positions of ethnic rebels, civil society organizations, and parties. It suggests rebels’ strategies were influenced by their relations with civil society and military strength. Most ethnic parties avoided resistance, as they feared junta retaliation and distrusted the ousted National League for Democracy. Ethnic civil society organizations played a key coordinating role during alliance formation, enabled by its campaign experience and networks. The article’s insights into interethnic cooperation and minorities’ varied situations can benefit international actors seeking resolutions of Myanmar’s post-coup conflict.
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参加春季革命还是自谋出路?
本文考察了缅甸少数民族对2021年军事政变的不同反应。政变引发了全国联盟的广泛动员,旨在用联邦民主取代军政府。对于少数民族行动者来说,这种抵抗可以提供一个独特的机会来推进他们对政治自治的要求,但他们的反应却各不相同。一些人加入了联盟;其他人拒绝了,或者接受了军政府的提议。在原始访谈的基础上,本分析揭示了少数民族叛军、民间社会组织和政党的立场。这表明叛军的策略受到他们与民间社会和军事力量的关系的影响。大多数少数民族政党都避免了抵抗,因为他们担心军政府的报复,并且不信任被赶下台的全国民主联盟。少数民族民间社会组织凭借其竞选经验和网络,在联盟形成过程中发挥了关键的协调作用。这篇文章对民族间合作和少数民族不同情况的见解,可以帮助寻求解决缅甸政变后冲突的国际行动者。
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来源期刊
Asian Survey
Asian Survey AREA STUDIES-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
22.20%
发文量
38
期刊介绍: The only academic journal of its kind produced in the United States, Asian Survey provides a comprehensive retrospective of contemporary international relations within South, Southeast, and East Asian nations. As the Asian community’s matrix of activities becomes increasingly complex, it is essential to have a sourcebook for sound analysis of current events, governmental policies, socio-economic development, and financial institutions. In Asian Survey you’ll find that sourcebook. Asian Survey consistently publishes articles by leading American and foreign scholars, whose views supplement and contest meanings disseminated by the media.
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