La Composition Politique de l’Angola (d’après la victoire du MPLA aux élections du 31 Aout 2012)

Pedro Borges Graça
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Abstract

A country’s self-image combines visions of its past and its future. This is very much the case in Angola right now, with the main driving forces effectively the Movimento Popular de Libertacao de Angola (MPLA) [People’s Movement for the Liberation of Angola] and President Jose Eduardo dos Santos (JES) and his ‘small committee’ of trusted advisors. In the wake of the country’s latest elections on August 31 2012, a new national and international legitimacy has emerged surrounding the President’s power and that of the MPLA, effectively expressed by the vote and a victory of around 70%. So far, a significant shift to Angola’s political makeup has yet to be perceived or predicted, with it constituting the basis of the status quo since the end of the Angolan Civil War in 2002. Without a profound rupture or change to its political makeup, evolution through continuity will form the ongoing scenario in Angola, and we will have to wait two or three years in order to gauge whether or not JES and the MPLA have frustrated Angolans’ expectations.
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安哥拉的政治构成(根据安哥拉人民解放运动在2012年8月31日选举中获胜)
一个国家的自我形象结合了对其过去和未来的展望。安哥拉目前的情况就是如此,安哥拉人民解放运动(MPLA)、总统Jose Eduardo dos Santos和他信任的顾问组成的“小委员会”,实际上是安哥拉人民解放运动的主要推动力量。在该国2012年8月31日的最新选举之后,围绕总统和MPLA的权力出现了新的国家和国际合法性,这在投票和大约70%的胜利中得到了有效表达。到目前为止,安哥拉政治结构的重大转变尚未被察觉或预测,它构成了自2002年安哥拉内战结束以来现状的基础。如果没有深刻的破裂或改变其政治构成,通过连续性的演变将形成安哥拉目前的局面,我们将不得不等待两到三年才能衡量JES和MPLA是否辜负了安哥拉人的期望。
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30
审稿时长
16 weeks
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