ANALYSIS OF THE NEGATIVE AND POSITIVE IMPACT OF INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS ON UNEMPLOYMENT IN VISEGRAD COUNTRIES

Klara Cermakova-Kaderabkova, E. Jašová
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引用次数: 10

Abstract

The objective of our analysis is to associate V4 Member States indicators with the selected institutional factors of the labour market. In addition, it aims at extending the Sekhon?s standard model for inflation with institutional factors. For the purposes of estimating the NAIRU in V4 countries, we intend to use the Kalman filter method with a higher than common smoothing coefficient. The model?s data will produce a specific period in which the institutional factors actually have a negative effect or positive effect onto the unemployment rate in individual countries. Finally, the analysis of the character and intensity of the impact of institutional factors onto the unemployment rate in individual V4 countries should indicate space for a wider application of institutional characters by economic policymakers. They should be warned about the threat of overusing the institutional factors having a negative effect onto the development of both structural and cyclical unemployment.
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维谢格拉德国家制度因素对失业的消极和积极影响分析
我们分析的目的是将V4成员国的指标与劳动力市场的选定制度因素联系起来。此外,它的目的是扩大香港?考虑制度因素的通货膨胀标准模型。为了估计V4国家的NAIRU,我们打算使用比普通平滑系数更高的卡尔曼滤波方法。这个模型吗?S数据将产生一个特定时期,其中制度因素实际上对个别国家的失业率产生消极或积极的影响。最后,对制度因素对个别V4国家失业率影响的特征和强度的分析应该表明经济政策制定者更广泛地应用制度特征的空间。应该警告他们,过度利用对结构性和周期性失业的发展都有负面影响的体制因素的威胁。
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