The verification of regional capital mobility in the Russian Federation: A spatial econometric approach

V. Shcherbakov, D. Tereshchenko
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Abstract

In many cases the perfect capital mobility hypothesis is used by default. Therefore, if we follow this idea there should not be any connection between internal savings and investments in a country or at least this connection must be not significant. But some of empirical research demonstrate opposite results. In economic literature this concept is well-known as the “Feldstein — Horioka Puzzle”. Considering the relative lack of studies concerning this theme on the regional level, it seems quite perspective to research the hypothesis from the mesoeconomical point of view. So, the central aim of this article is the verification of regional capital mobility in the Russian Federation, following the logics of the Feldstein — Horioka Puzzle. The main peculiarity of the paper is based on the application a spatial econometric approach. The authors use SLX (spatial lag of X model) and SDM (spatial Durbin model) models to achieve the aim. As the result it was found out that there is almost perfect capital mobility situation on the regional level in the Russian Federation. Hereby the Feldstein — Horioka Puzzle was rejected. Along with it several significant direct and indirect effects were established (for instance, reinforced interaction between geographical neighbors-region, absent of capital flow from some regions and other). The results can be used for the consideration of relatively more efficient regional government policy.
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俄罗斯联邦区域资本流动的验证:一个空间计量方法
在许多情况下,完全资本流动性假设被默认使用。因此,如果我们遵循这一观点,一个国家的内部储蓄和投资之间不应该有任何联系,或者至少这种联系一定不显著。但一些实证研究显示了相反的结果。在经济文献中,这个概念被称为“费尔德斯坦-堀冈之谜”。考虑到区域层面对这一主题的研究相对缺乏,从中观经济学的角度来研究这一假设似乎是很有意义的。因此,本文的中心目标是遵循费尔德斯坦-堀冈之谜的逻辑,验证俄罗斯联邦的区域资本流动。本文的主要特点是基于空间计量经济学方法的应用。作者采用SLX (X模型的空间滞后)和SDM(空间德宾模型)模型来实现这一目标。结果发现,俄罗斯联邦在区域层面上具有近乎完美的资本流动状况。据此,费尔德斯坦-堀冈谜题被驳回。与此同时,建立了几个重要的直接和间接影响(例如,地理相邻地区之间的相互作用加强,某些地区和其他地区缺乏资本流动)。研究结果可用于考虑相对更有效的区域政府政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
20.00%
发文量
9
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