FACTORS AFFECTING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IN EMERGING ECONOMIES: MIXED MODELS

Mustafa Naimoğlu, Mustafa Akal, Çisem Bektur
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Abstract

This study aims to explain energy efficiency by social, political, institutional, and economic variables for emerging countries during the 1990-2018 period. The estimated models exhibited cointegrated relationships. According to the predicted models, while GDP per capita and total factor productivity have the most positive effect on energy efficiency, on the other hand, fossil fuel use has the most negative effect on energy efficiency among economical variables. Social globalization, government efficiency, and control of corruption are positive; on the other hand, urbanization is negatively effective on energy efficiency. A 1% increase in GDP per capita improves the energy efficiency between 0.78% and 0.86%, and a 1% increase in total factor productivity increases it by about 0.48%. On the other hand, a 1% increase in fossil fuel consumption reduces energy efficiency between 0.56% and 0.70%. A 1% increase in the energy use of the service and industry sectors causes a decrease in the energy efficiency of about 0.43% and 0.19%, respectively. A 1% increase in social globalization, government efficiency, and control of corruption increase energy efficiency by about 0.15%, 0.10%, and 0.03%, respectively, while a 1% increase in urbanization decreases it by about 1.18%
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影响新兴经济体能源效率的因素:混合模型
本研究旨在通过1990-2018年期间新兴国家的社会、政治、制度和经济变量来解释能源效率。估计模型呈现协整关系。根据预测模型,人均GDP和全要素生产率对能源效率的正向影响最大,而化石燃料使用对能源效率的负向影响最大。社会全球化、政府效率和腐败控制是积极的;另一方面,城市化对能源效率有负面影响。人均国内生产总值增长1%,能源效率提高0.78% ~ 0.86%;全要素生产率提高1%,能源效率提高0.48%左右。另一方面,化石燃料消耗每增加1%,能源效率就会降低0.56%至0.70%。服务业和工业部门的能源使用量每增加1%,能源效率就会分别下降约0.43%和0.19%。社会全球化、政府效率和腐败控制每提高1%,能源效率分别提高约0.15%、0.10%和0.03%,而城市化水平每提高1%,能源效率降低约1.18%
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自引率
50.00%
发文量
48
审稿时长
15 weeks
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