Evaluation of the effectiveness of administrative-territorial transformations in Russia

Yulia V. Dubrovskaya, Yu.G. Belonogov, E. Kozonogova
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Abstract

In modern studies devoted to the issues of reforming the administrativeterritorial division in the present and historical past of Russia, the point of view traditionally prevails, according to which the true goal of such transformations is to create not so much an economically efficient but a state-administrative territorial framework. However, most of these judgments are not supported by empirical evidence and quantitative estimates. Therefore, modeling the problem of the conflict of managerial and economic interests during the reform of the administrative- territorial division of Russia seems to be an interesting research task. Its solution will give a new assessment of the effectiveness of administrative-territorial transformations both in historical retrospect and in modern political realities. The authors collected statistical data for 135 years for studying the evolution of the territorial organization of Russia. The value of real GDP per capita in 1913 prices was chosen as an endogenous variable. As the main variables of interest, dummy variables were used, obtained according to the authors’ grouping of historical events and characterizing political and economic initiatives to change the territorial division of the country. As a result of modeling, it was proved that the transformations on the "crossroads" of the administrative borders of the regions (regardless of the declared goals) during the period under review contributed more to solving the political and managerial tasks of the Center than to the economic development.
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评价俄罗斯行政-领土转型的有效性
在致力于改革俄罗斯现在和历史上的行政领土划分问题的现代研究中,传统上流行的观点是,这种转变的真正目标不是创造一个经济上有效的国家-行政领土框架,而是创造一个国家-行政领土框架。然而,这些判断大多没有经验证据和定量估计的支持。因此,对俄罗斯行政区划改革过程中的管理利益与经济利益冲突问题进行建模是一项有趣的研究任务。这一问题的解决将在历史回顾和现代政治现实中对行政-领土改革的有效性作出新的评价。为了研究俄罗斯领土组织的演变,作者收集了135年的统计数据。选取1913年实际人均GDP作为内生变量。作为主要感兴趣的变量,使用虚拟变量,根据作者对历史事件的分组和对改变国家领土划分的政治和经济举措的特征获得虚拟变量。建模的结果证明,在本报告所述期间,区域行政边界“十字路口”的转变(无论宣布的目标如何)对解决中心的政治和管理任务的贡献大于对经济发展的贡献。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
20.00%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: Key Journal''s objectives: bring together economists of different schools of thought across the Russian Federation; strengthen ties between Academy institutes, educational establishments and economic research centers; improve the quality of Russian economic research and education; integrate economic science and education; speed up the integration of Russian economic science in the global mainstream of economic research. The Journal publishes both theoretical and empirical articles, devoted to all aspects of economic science, which are of interest for wide range of specialists. It welcomes high-quality interdisciplinary projects and economic studies employing methodologies from other sciences such as physics, psychology, political science, etc. Special attention is paid to analyses of processes occurring in the Russian economy. Decisions about publishing of articles are based on a double-blind review process. Exceptions are short notes in the section "Hot Topic", which is usually formed by special invitations and after considerations of the Editorial Board. The only criterion to publish is the quality of the work (original approach, significance and substance of findings, clear presentation style). No decision to publish or reject an article will be influenced by the author belonging to whatever public movement or putting forward ideas advocated by whatever political movement. The Journal comes out four times a year, each issue consisting of 12 to 15 press sheets. Now it is published only in Russian. The English translations of the Journal issues are posted on the Journal website as open access resources.
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