The impact of smoking, overweight, and fine particulate matter air pollution on life expectancy: Estimations with county-level matched data for Germany

A. Prinz, D. Richter
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Abstract

Smoking and overweight are well-known factors that shorten life expectancy. While these factors are seemingly controllable by the individual, risks from fine particulate matter pollution are less so. In this paper, these risks are studied with novel micro data at the county level for Germany and for the years 1999 to 2017. A matching approach is used to control for relevant differences between the counties. Unexpectedly, fine particulate matter pollution is not found to have a direct effect on life expectancy, when controlling for relevant covariates with the matching estimation model. In contrast, it had just such a negative effect in the robustness check and extensions with an OLS model. These additional OLS estimations provide evidence of a moderating effect of particulate matter pollution on the effects of smoking and overweight with respect to life expectancy.
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吸烟、超重和细颗粒物空气污染对预期寿命的影响:德国县级匹配数据的估计
吸烟和超重是众所周知的缩短预期寿命的因素。虽然这些因素似乎可以由个人控制,但细颗粒物污染的风险就不那么容易控制了。本文利用1999年至2017年德国县域的新微观数据对这些风险进行了研究。采用匹配方法来控制各县之间的相关差异。出乎意料的是,当用匹配的估计模型控制相关协变量时,没有发现细颗粒物污染对预期寿命有直接影响。相反,它在OLS模型的鲁棒性检查和扩展中具有这样的负面影响。这些额外的OLS估计提供了证据,证明颗粒物质污染对吸烟和超重对预期寿命的影响具有缓和作用。
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