Long-term wind speed prediction using artificial neural network-based approaches

IF 0.9 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY AIMS Geosciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.3934/geosci.2021031
M. Madhiarasan
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

In the current scenario, worldwide renewable energy systems receive renewed interest because of the global reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. This paper proposes a long-term wind speed prediction model based on various artificial neural network approaches such as Improved Back-Propagation Network (IBPN), Multilayer Perceptron Network (MLPN), Recursive Radial Basis Function Network (RRBFN), and Elman Network with five inputs such as wind direction, temperature, relative humidity, precipitation of water content and wind speed. The proposed ANN-based wind speed forecasting models help plan, integrate, and control power systems and wind farms. The simulation result confirms that the proposed Recursive Radial Basis Function Network (RRBFN) model improves the wind speed prediction accuracy and minimizes the error to a minimum compared to other proposed IBPN, MLPN, and Elman Network-based wind speed prediction models.
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基于人工神经网络的长期风速预测方法
在目前的情况下,由于全球温室气体排放的减少,全球可再生能源系统重新受到关注。本文提出了一种基于改进的反向传播网络(IBPN)、多层感知器网络(MLPN)、递归径向基函数网络(RRBFN)和Elman网络等多种人工神经网络方法的长期风速预测模型,该模型具有风向、温度、相对湿度、降水量和风速5个输入。提出的基于人工神经网络的风速预测模型有助于规划、集成和控制电力系统和风力发电场。仿真结果表明,与其他基于IBPN、MLPN和Elman Network的风速预测模型相比,所提出的RRBFN模型提高了风速预测精度,并将误差降至最小。
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来源期刊
AIMS Geosciences
AIMS Geosciences GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
自引率
7.70%
发文量
31
审稿时长
8 weeks
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